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Kyle Brandt#56 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 10, 2025

Brandt predicted the Bills would beat the Broncos comfortably in Buffalo.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100
Game Outcome PicksThe callsettled
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#56Kyle Brandt’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Kyle Brandt said

I think Buffalo wins comfortably.
Our reading: Buffalo Bills to beat Denver
Where it was said
Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode
GMFB Friday Hour 2: Eagles Concerns, NFL Honors Annoucement, and Bold Predictions
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJan 10, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills to beat Denver

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Jan 12): Bills by 7.5 · favorite pick, Bills 78%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    7-31
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    BUF
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

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