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Colin Cowherd#54 of 87 NFL pundits · Nov 21, 2025

Cowherd's Blazing Five picks: Packers over Vikings 28-20, Bears over Steelers 27-21, Chiefs over Colts 28-24 with the over 50.5, Seahawks over Titans 31-13, and Carolina covering +7 in a close 49ers home win. They also predicted Green Bay would begin playing its best football of the year starting this weekend, forecast a specific Shedeur Sanders stat line in their first start, and picked Oregon to control the game against USC.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

3 of 5calls landed3 hits · 2 close calls · all settled
88.1Average accuracyout of 100, across 5 calls
80.1A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
5 of 5Settlednone still waiting
#54Colin Cowherd’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Colin Cowherd said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Packers win and cover. It's a lot. It's a division game, twenty eight to twenty
Colin Cowherd, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)
The episode
THE HERD - Hour 2 - Blazing 5 picks for the weekend, the Chiefs struggles this season, Julian Edelman
The original
Hear the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidNov 21, 2025
  2. GradedAug 7–17, 2026
  1. 1Green Bay Packers 28 — Vikings 20“I'm gonna take Green Bay as a home favorite to win and cover minus six and a half... Packers win and cover... twenty eight to twenty”
  2. 2Chicago Bears 27 — Steelers 21“I'm gonna take the Bears to win and the Bears to cover twenty seven twenty one”
  3. 3Kansas City Chiefs 28 — Colts 24“I think it's a close game. Kansas City wins twenty eight to twenty four.”
  4. 4San Francisco 49ers to beat Carolina“I think San Francisco, probably at home, finds a way to win.”
  5. 5Seattle Seahawks 31 — Tennessee 13“Seattle wins and covers thirty one to thirteen.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Green Bay Packers 28 — Vikings 201Score Predictions—78.5764.35+19.76
Chicago Bears 27 — Steelers 212Score Predictions—92.8697.69−6.71
Kansas City Chiefs 28 — Colts 243Score Predictions—97.6297.69−0.09
San Francisco 49ers to beat Carolina4Game Outcome Picks—1001000
Seattle Seahawks 31 — Tennessee 135Score Predictions—71.4340.54+42.93
5 calls · 3 hits · 2 close calls · all settled88.180.1

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

5 checkable claims — 4 score predictions and 1 game outcome pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 88.1 out of 100, against 80.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Score PredictionsGreen Bay Packers

    Green Bay Packers 28 — Vikings 20

    VerdictClose
    78.57Close · naive 64.35
    78.57this call64.35a naive guess14.22better than naive1.39difficulty+19.76skill

    Closing line (Nov 23): Packers by 6.5, total 41.5 · this 28–20 calls a bigger Packers win (by 8) and more points (48). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    score:
    6-23
    skill:
    19.76
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    78.57
    baseline:
    64.35
    difficulty:
    1.39
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    7
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    8
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Score PredictionsChicago Bears

    Chicago Bears 27 — Steelers 21

    VerdictHit
    92.86Hit · naive 97.69
    92.86this call97.69a naive guess−4.83worse than naive1.39difficulty−6.71skill

    Closing line (Nov 23): Bears by 3, total 46.5 · this 27–21 calls a bigger Bears win (by 6) and more points (48). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    score:
    28-31
    skill:
    −6.71
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    92.86
    baseline:
    97.69
    difficulty:
    1.39
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    7
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    6
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Score PredictionsKansas City Chiefs

    Kansas City Chiefs 28 — Colts 24

    VerdictHit
    97.62Hit · naive 97.69
    97.62this call97.69a naive guess−0.07worse than naive1.39difficulty−0.09skill

    Closing line (Nov 23): Chiefs by 3.5, total 50.5 · this 28–24 calls a bigger Chiefs win (by 4) and more points (52).

    How this was scored
    score:
    20-23
    skill:
    −0.09
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    97.62
    baseline:
    97.69
    difficulty:
    1.39
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    7
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    4
    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ers

    San Francisco 49ers to beat Carolina

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.39difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Nov 24): 49ers by 7.5 · favorite pick, 49ers about 3 in 4 (77%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    9-20
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SF
    difficulty:
    1.39
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    7
    Think this is wrong?

  5. 5Score PredictionsSeattle Seahawks

    Seattle Seahawks 31 — Tennessee 13

    VerdictClose
    71.43Close · naive 40.54
    71.43this call40.54a naive guess30.89better than naive1.39difficulty+42.93skill

    Closing line (Nov 23): Seahawks by 12.5, total 41.5 · this 31–13 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 18) and more points (44). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    score:
    30-24
    skill:
    42.93
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    71.43
    baseline:
    40.54
    difficulty:
    1.39
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    7
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  6. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 5 settled calls, each counted once

    88.1naive 80.1

Who this take is about

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