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Damian ParsonMar 25, 2026

Parson projected several mid-round defensive and receiver prospects: Cincinnati linebacker Jake Golde could sneak into the late first round, Georgia DT Christian Miller goes on day two (round two to three), Iowa State DT Dominique Orange in the third round, and Georgia State WR Ted Hurst in rounds two or three.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Packers (podcast)Hear the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 close call · 2 waiting
72Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 4Settled2 still waiting
2Waitingnot graded yet

What Damian Parson said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I think this is a guy that I wouldn't be shocked to hear his name come off the board late first round.
Damian Parson, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
Why the PERFECT Packers pick at 52 is NOT who you think (a CB, WR, or NT)
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidMar 25
  2. GradedAug 14–18
  1. 1Domonique Orange to be picked “day two, probably third round” (picks 65–100)“I think day two, probably third round, he comes off the board.”
  2. 2Jake Golday to be picked “late first round” (picks 1–32)“I think this is a guy that I wouldn't be shocked to hear his name come off the board late first round”
  3. 3Ted Hurst to be picked “round two, round three”“I think a guy like like Ted Hurst, a team gets him round two, round three.”
  4. 4Christian Miller to be picked “round two to round three”“I think the NFL team is gonna be able to draft him on day two... I think you can get him round two to round three for sure.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Domonique Orange to be picked “day two, probably third round” (picks 65–100)1Mock Draft PicksWent 8210050—
Jake Golday to be picked “late first round” (picks 1–32)2Mock Draft PicksWent 5143.9150—
Ted Hurst to be picked “round two, round three”3Mock Draft Picks————
Christian Miller to be picked “round two to round three”4Mock Draft Picks————
4 calls · 1 hit · 1 close call · 2 waiting7250

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

4 checkable claims — 4 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 72 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
day two, probably third round (picks 65–100)They said
82What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksDomonique Orange

    Domonique Orange to be picked “day two, probably third round” (picks 65–100)

    What happenedWent 82
    100Hit · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Domonique Orange
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    82
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    day two, probably third round (picks 65–100)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Mock Draft PicksJake Golday

    Jake Golday to be picked “late first round” (picks 1–32)

    What happenedWent 51
    43.91Close · naive 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Jake Golday
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    43.91
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    51
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    43.91
    predicted pick:
    late first round (picks 1–32)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Mock Draft PicksTed Hurst

    Ted Hurst to be picked “round two, round three”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. 4Mock Draft PicksChristian Miller

    Christian Miller to be picked “round two to round three”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    72naive 50

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