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Jason HirschhornApr 17, 2026

In a constrained mock-draft exercise (choosing from pre-set boards), Jason agreed with Jacob on Packers selections: CB Chris Johnson at 52, DL Dominique Orange at 84, CB Julian Neal at 120, OL JC Davis at 153 and RB Nick Singleton at 160. They also doubted Chris Johnson would still be available at 52.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Packers (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 5calls landed2 hits · 1 close call · 2 misses · 1 waiting
53Average accuracyout of 100, across 5 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
5 of 6Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Jason Hirschhorn said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
So my lean right now is Dominic Orange.
Jason Hirschhorn, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
The episode
PACKERS SQUAD SHOW: Our FINAL 2026 Packers Mock Draft | Building the PERFECT Green Bay Offseason
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidApr 16
  2. GradedOct 1
  1. 1Nicholas Singleton to be picked at number 160“And then round five, you had two selections, one fifty three and one sixty. And you took tackle JC Davis out of Illinois and running back Nick Singleton out of Penn State.”
  2. 2Domonique Orange to be picked at number 84“So my lean right now is Dominic Orange... Round three, you guys take big citrus, Dominique Orange out of Iowa State”
  3. 3Julian Neal to be picked at number 120“it sounds like we're both leaning now toward Neil... Round four, pick number one twenty. You double dipped into the quarterback position. You both agreed on Julian Neal out of Arkansas.”
  4. 4J.C. Davis to be picked at number 153“Are both of you in agreement for 01:53 and 01:60, JC? I think we are.”
  5. 5Chris Johnson to be picked at number 52“I think we're in agreement here. Chris Johnson's the pick of these options?”
  6. 6Chris Johnson to be picked “high second, late first kind of round grade / won't be there at 52”“I actually don't believe that Chris Johnson will ultimately be there at 52”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Nicholas Singleton to be picked at number 1601Mock Draft PicksWent 16580.5250+45
Domonique Orange to be picked at number 842Mock Draft PicksWent 8291.750+45
Julian Neal to be picked at number 1203Mock Draft PicksWent 9940.2650+45
J.C. Davis to be picked at number 1534Mock Draft PicksWent 19218.4650+45
Chris Johnson to be picked at number 525Mock Draft PicksWent 2733.8650+45
Chris Johnson to be picked “high second, late first kind of round grade / won't be there at 52”6Mock Draft Picks————
6 calls · 2 hits · 1 close call · 2 misses · 1 waiting5350

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

6 checkable claims — 6 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

5 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 53 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
160They said
165What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksNicholas SingletonGreen Bay Packers

    Nicholas Singleton to be picked at number 160

    What happenedWent 165mocked at 160
    80.52Hit · naive 50
    95this mock’s order50a shuffled mock45better than naive1difficulty+45skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    45
    player:
    Nicholas Singleton
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    80.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    165
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    80.52
    predicted pick:
    160
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    95
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Mock Draft PicksDomonique OrangeGreen Bay Packers

    Domonique Orange to be picked at number 84

    What happenedWent 82mocked at 84
    91.7Hit · naive 50
    95this mock’s order50a shuffled mock45better than naive1difficulty+45skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    45
    player:
    Domonique Orange
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    82
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    84
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    95
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Mock Draft PicksJulian NealGreen Bay Packers

    Julian Neal to be picked at number 120

    What happenedWent 99mocked at 120
    40.26Close · naive 50
    95this mock’s order50a shuffled mock45better than naive1difficulty+45skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    45
    player:
    Julian Neal
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    40.26
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    99
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    40.26
    predicted pick:
    120
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    95
    Think this is wrong?
  4. 4Mock Draft PicksJ.C. DavisGreen Bay Packers

    J.C. Davis to be picked at number 153

    What happenedWent 192mocked at 153
    18.46Miss · naive 50
    95this mock’s order50a shuffled mock45better than naive1difficulty+45skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    45
    player:
    J.C. Davis
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    18.46
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    192
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    18.46
    predicted pick:
    153
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    95
    Think this is wrong?
  5. 5Mock Draft PicksChris JohnsonGreen Bay Packers

    Chris Johnson to be picked at number 52

    What happenedWent 27mocked at 52
    33.86Miss · naive 50
    95this mock’s order50a shuffled mock45better than naive1difficulty+45skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    45
    player:
    Chris Johnson
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    33.86
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    27
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    33.86
    predicted pick:
    52
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    95
    Think this is wrong?
  6. 6Mock Draft PicksChris Johnson

    Chris Johnson to be picked “high second, late first kind of round grade / won't be there at 52”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  7. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 5 settled calls, each counted once

    53naive 50

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