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Lane MillsSep 4, 2026

Mills argues the Titans, who have lost five straight season openers, should be expected to break that streak by beating the visiting Jets in Week 1.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

0Miss · out of 100
Jets 23–10What happenedJets at Titans
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
0This callout of 100
0Skillafter difficulty

What Lane Mills said

it's more than fair to expect a rebuilt Titans team to break this season-opening curse
Our reading: Tennessee Titans to beat New York Jets
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Titans Must Overcome Historic Week 1 Failures With Win vs. Jets
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidSep 4
  2. PlayedSep 13
  3. GradedSep 15

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Game Outcome PicksTennessee Titans

    Tennessee Titans to beat New York Jets

    What happenedJets 23–10Jets at Titans
    0Miss · naive 0
    0this call0a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    NYJ
    score:
    23-10
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    TEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    TEN
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

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