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Pete Prisco· Oct 28, 2026

Prisco picked the Packers to beat the Panthers at home, 31-24.

“Love lights them up, and Josh Jacobs gets the run game going”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 97.6 out of 100, against 79.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Green Bay Packers 31 — Panthers 24

    “He picked the Packers to snag a 31-24 win at home.”

    Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 79.94+28.47 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    19-27
    skill:
    28.47
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    97.62
    baseline:
    79.94
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    −0.43
    predicted margin:
    7

    Closing line (Oct 29): Packers by 3.5, total 47.5 · this 31–24 calls a bigger Packers win (by 7) and more points (55).

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