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Hondo Carpenter#14 of 87 NFL pundits · Nov 9, 2026

Ahead of the trade deadline, Carpenter argues the Raiders will not move Kirk Cousins, Maxx Crosby or Jeremy Chinn, and that Tre Tucker will not re-sign for less than $12 million per year.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

Waiting4 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 4Settled4 still waiting
#14Hondo Carpenter’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Hondo Carpenter said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
While Cousins is certainly available for the right price, the Raiders are NOT shopping him, and there are no bargain deals for him.
Hondo Carpenter, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Latest Raiders Trade Deadline Rumors: Separating Fact From Fiction
The original
Read the original
  1. 1Maxx Crosby to stay with Las Vegas Raiders“He isn't seeking or asking for a trade, and the Raiders aren't asking for or seeking offers... Nothing is imminent, nor is anything in the works at the time of this writing, but there is a market, there is interest, and that means in the NFL, it isn’t probable, but possible.”
  2. 2Jeremy Chinn to stay with Las Vegas Raiders“I think it would take at least a fifth-round pick for consideration, which I am unsure is possible, and a fourth would be a must for the Raiders. I don’t see that at all.”
  3. 3Kirk Cousins to stay with Las Vegas Raiders“With both of those goals on the table, while Cousins is certainly available for the right price, the Raiders are NOT shopping him, and there are no bargain deals for him.”
  4. 4Tre Tucker to play out his deal with no new contract“I believe Tucker will not sign with the Raiders for less than Jalen Nailor’s $12 million per year.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Maxx Crosby to stay with Las Vegas Raiders1Trade and Signing Calls————
Jeremy Chinn to stay with Las Vegas Raiders2Trade and Signing Calls————
Kirk Cousins to stay with Las Vegas Raiders3Trade and Signing Calls————
Tre Tucker to play out his deal with no new contract4Contract Calls————
4 calls · 4 waiting——

How each call scored

4 checkable claims — 3 trade and signing calls and 1 contract call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Trade and Signing CallsMaxx CrosbyLas Vegas Raiders

    Maxx Crosby to stay with Las Vegas Raiders

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Trade and Signing CallsJeremy ChinnLas Vegas Raiders

    Jeremy Chinn to stay with Las Vegas Raiders

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Trade and Signing CallsKirk CousinsLas Vegas Raiders

    Kirk Cousins to stay with Las Vegas Raiders

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. 4Contract CallsTre TuckerLas Vegas Raiders

    Tre Tucker to play out his deal with no new contract

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.