JP Acosta#40 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 5, 2026

Acosta picks the Seahawks to win the Super Bowl over the Patriots by a score of 27-17, saying Seattle pulls away late because its defense is too good.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Pushing the Pile (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · all settled

92.9Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls

8.4A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

2 of 2Settlednone still waiting

#40JP Acosta’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What JP Acosta said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

I actually think the Seahawks win. I think they pull away late twenty seven seventeen.

JP Acosta, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: Pushing the Pile (podcast)
The episode: Why These Matchups WILL DECIDE Super Bowl LX: Seahawks vs Patriots Preview & Predictions
The original: Hear the original
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SaidFeb 5
GradedAug 13

1Seattle Seahawks 27 — Patriots 17“I think they pull away late twenty seven seventeen. I do think it's sort of close going into the second half.”
2Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl“I actually think the Seahawks win. I think they pull away late twenty seven seventeen.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Seattle Seahawks 27 — Patriots 17¹	Score Predictions	—	85.71	16.73	+68.98
Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl²	Super Bowl Picks	SEA won it	100	0	+100
2 calls · 2 hits · all settled			92.9	8.4

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 score prediction and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

All 2 have settled, averaging 92.9 out of 100, against 8.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Score Predictions Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks 27 — Patriots 17
VerdictHit
85.71Hit · naive 16.73
85.71this call16.73a naive guess68.98better than naive1difficulty+68.98skill
Closing line (Feb 8): Seahawks by 4.5, total 45.5 · this 27–17 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 10) and fewer points (44).
How this was scored
score:
29-13
skill:
68.98
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
85.71
baseline:
16.73
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
16
weeks left when called:
0
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
10
Think this is wrong?
2Super Bowl Picks Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl
What happenedSEA won itpicked SEA
100Hit · naive 0
100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1difficulty+100skill
How this was scored
skill:
100
they picked:
SEA
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
champion:
SEA
runner up:
NE
the naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
92.9naive 8.4