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Jerry MarkarianAug 28, 2026

Markarian says Bears tackle Theo Benedet's spot on the roster is essentially secure as the team's top swing tackle, and suggests that if Benedet wins the left tackle job they could command roughly a $5-6 million deal in free agency next offseason, versus a near-minimum deal if they lose out to Braxton Jones.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

1 of 1calls landed1 hit · 1 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
100A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1 of 2Settled1 still waiting
1Waitingnot graded yet

What Jerry Markarian said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Bears offensive tackle Theo Benedet is not fighting for a roster spot.
Jerry Markarian, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Theo Benedet is the Chicago Bear With the Most on the Line Against Tennessee
The original
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  1. SaidAug 28
  2. GradedSep 25
  1. 1Theo Benedet to make the roster“Bears offensive tackle Theo Benedet is not fighting for a roster spot. The Canadian Eagle has long been favored as the team's top option at swing tackle, and his roster spot was all but locked up with Jedrick Wills Jr. and Kiran Amegadjie floundering in the preseason opener against Cleveland.”
  2. 2Theo Benedet: “contract claim: a $5 to $6 million deal next offseason if he wins the starting job; near-veteran-minimum deal if he does not”“Benedet isn't likely to receive an incentivized deal, but a $5 to $6 million deal isn't out of the question. It certainly is if he doesn't beat Jones out for the starting job, though. He'd be looking at a contract in the range of the one he signed this offseason (which is near-veteran minimum salary) if that comes to fruition.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Theo Benedet to make the roster1Roster Spot Calls3 weeks on a 531001000
Theo Benedet: “contract claim: a $5 to $6 million deal next offseason if he wins the starting job; near-veteran-minimum deal if he does not”2Contract Calls————
2 calls · 1 hit · 1 waiting100100

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 1 contract call and 1 roster spot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Roster Spot CallsTheo BenedetChicago Bears

    Theo Benedet to make the roster

    What happened3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    CHI
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Theo Benedet
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Contract CallsTheo BenedetChicago Bears

    Theo Benedet: “contract claim: a $5 to $6 million deal next offseason if he wins the starting job; near-veteran-minimum deal if he does not”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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