Skip to main content
MissedTakes
Menu

Tyler Sullivan#27 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 2, 2026

Sullivan picks the Cowboys to win outright in Houston and likes the Seahawks to win big at home over the Chargers.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · all settled
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#27Tyler Sullivan’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Tyler Sullivan said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Tyler Sullivan has the Cowboys not only covering but winning straight up in a battle of Texas' two teams.
Tyler Sullivan, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
NFL Week 4 odds, predictions, expert picks: Who wins 49ers-Broncos showdown? Colts or Commanders in London?
The original
Read the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look
  1. SaidOct 2
  2. PlayedOct 4
  3. GradedOct 5
  1. 1Dallas Cowboys to beat Texans“Tyler Sullivan has the Cowboys not only covering but winning straight up in a battle of Texas' two teams.”
  2. 2Seattle Seahawks to beat Chargers“Tyler Sullivan likes the reigning champs to get back on track with a blowout win.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Dallas Cowboys to beat Texans1Game Outcome PicksCowboys 34–301000+183
Seattle Seahawks to beat Chargers2Game Outcome PicksSeahawks 30–231001000
2 calls · 2 hits · all settled10050

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

2 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksDallas Cowboys

    Dallas Cowboys to beat Texans

    What happenedCowboys 34–30Cowboys at Texans
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.83difficulty+183skill

    Closing line (Oct 4): Texans by 3 · underdog pick, Cowboys 42%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    won:
    DAL
    score:
    34-30
    skill:
    183
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    HOU
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    15
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Game Outcome PicksSeattle Seahawks

    Seattle Seahawks to beat Chargers

    What happenedSeahawks 30–23Chargers at Seahawks
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1.83difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Oct 4): Seahawks by 7 · favorite pick, Seahawks about 3 in 4 (74%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    SEA
    score:
    23-30
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SEA
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    15
    Think this is wrong?
  3. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    100naive 50

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Who this take is about

Make your own calls.Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these