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John Breech· Nov 3, 2026

Breech picks every Week 9 game with final scores, including the Jaguars blowing out the quarterback-depleted Ravens, the Bengals outscoring the Falcons in Madrid, the Packers spoiling Tom Brady's return to Foxborough, the Bears edging the run-heavy Buccaneers, and the Bills beating the Vikings.

“I don't know if the Jags are going to win the Super Bowl, but I do think they roll to a win on Thursday night.”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

17 checkable claims — 15 score predictions, 1 availability call and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 18 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

14 of 17 have settled so far, averaging 80.8 out of 100, against 39.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Where this call stands in the room

Joe Fagnano · 2026 season

8 calls from 8 pundits between 1 and 2. John Breech said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet

John Breech — 1the room — 8 calls from 8 punditsmedian 1

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

The games in this take

17 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Chicago Bears 23 — Buccaneers 20

    “PICK : Bears 23-20 over Buccaneers”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 93.16+10.68 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    24-27
    skill:
    10.68
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    93.16
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.13
    predicted margin:
    3

    Closing line (Nov 8): Bears by 6.5, total 47.5 · this 23–20 calls a closer game (Bears by 3) and fewer points (43).

    Think this is wrong?

  • San Francisco 49ers 30 — Raiders 23

    “49ers 30-23 over Raiders”

    Close · 67Scored 66.67a naive guess scored 50.3+25.53 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    17-38
    skill:
    25.53
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    66.67
    baseline:
    50.3
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    21
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.13
    predicted margin:
    7

    Closing line (Nov 8): 49ers by 8.5, total 51.5 · this 30–23 calls a closer game (49ers by 7) and more points (53).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Seattle Seahawks 30 — Cardinals 20

    “Seahawks 30-20 over Cardinals”

    Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 66.97+36.68 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    3-17
    skill:
    36.68
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    90.48
    baseline:
    66.97
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    14
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.13
    predicted margin:
    10

    Closing line (Nov 8): Seahawks by 8.5, total 39.5 · this 30–20 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 10) and more points (50).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Houston Texans 27 — Chargers 16

    “Texans 27-16 over Chargers”

    Close · 74Scored 73.81a naive guess scored 0+115.14 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    44-22
    skill:
    115.14
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    73.81
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    22
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.13
    predicted margin:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 8): Texans by 5.5, total 40.5 · this 27–16 calls a bigger Texans win (by 11) and more points (43).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Green Bay Packers 23 — Patriots 20

    “PICK: Packers 23-20 over Patriots”

    Close · 64Scored 64.29a naive guess scored 7.44+88.68 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    45-27
    skill:
    88.68
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    64.29
    baseline:
    7.44
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.13
    predicted margin:
    3

    Closing line (Nov 8): Patriots by 3, total 44.5 · this 23–20 calls a Packers win (by 3; the line gave the Packers 38%) and fewer points (43).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Detroit Lions 31 — Dolphins 17

    “Lions 31-17 over Dolphins”

    Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 26.54+99.74 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    19-9
    skill:
    99.74
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    90.48
    baseline:
    26.54
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.15
    predicted margin:
    14

    Closing line (Nov 8): Lions by 6.5, total 49.5 · this 31–17 calls a bigger Lions win (by 14) and fewer points (48).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Cleveland Browns 20 — Saints 17

    “Browns 20-17 over Saints”

    Close · 45Scored 45.24a naive guess scored 97.97-82.26 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    22-23
    skill:
    −82.26
    they picked:
    CLE
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    45.24
    baseline:
    97.97
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.15
    predicted margin:
    3

    Closing line (Nov 8): Saints by 4.5, total 43.5 · this 20–17 calls a Browns win (by 3; the line gave the Browns about 1 in 3 (34%)) and fewer points (37).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kansas City Chiefs 27 — Jets 20

    “Chiefs 27-20 over Jets”

    Close · 62Scored 61.9a naive guess scored 50+18.57 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    12-35
    skill:
    18.57
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    61.9
    baseline:
    50
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    23
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.15
    predicted margin:
    7

    Closing line (Nov 8): Chiefs by 9.5, total 47.5 · this 27–20 calls a closer game (Chiefs by 7) and fewer points (47).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Los Angeles Rams 30 — Commanders 22

    “Rams 30-22 over Commanders”

    Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 33.68+99.74 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    20-13
    skill:
    99.74
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    97.62
    baseline:
    33.68
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.15
    predicted margin:
    8

    Closing line (Nov 8): Rams by 4.5, total 48.5 · this 30–22 calls a bigger Rams win (by 8) and more points (52).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Denver Broncos 24 — Panthers 17

    “Broncos 24-17 over Panthers”

    Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 38.44+88.6 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    26-21
    skill:
    88.6
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    95.24
    baseline:
    38.44
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.15
    predicted margin:
    7

    Closing line (Nov 8): Broncos by 3, total 44.5 · this 24–17 calls a bigger Broncos win (by 7) and fewer points (41).

    Think this is wrong?

  • New York Giants 24 — Eagles 16

    “Giants 24-16 over Eagles”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 31.3+107.17 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    19-11
    skill:
    107.17
    they picked:
    NYG
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    31.3
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.15
    predicted margin:
    8

    Closing line (Nov 8): Giants by 3, total 38.5 · this 24–16 calls a bigger Giants win (by 8) and more points (40).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Dallas Cowboys 23 — Colts 16

    “Cowboys 23-16 over Colts”

    Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 40.82+81.17 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    27-23
    skill:
    81.17
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    92.86
    baseline:
    40.82
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.15
    predicted margin:
    7

    Closing line (Nov 8): Cowboys by 4.5, total 51.5 · this 23–16 calls a bigger Cowboys win (by 7) and fewer points (39).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Cincinnati Bengals 34 — Falcons 31

    “PICK: Bengals 34-31 over Falcons”

    Close · 67Scored 66.67a naive guess scored 10.09+88.27 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    34-17
    skill:
    88.27
    they picked:
    CIN
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    66.67
    baseline:
    10.09
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.24
    predicted margin:
    3

    Closing line (Nov 8): Bengals by 3, total 52.5 · this 34–31 calls the line’s margin (Bengals by 3) and more points (65).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jacksonville Jaguars 30 — Ravens 13

    “PICK: Jaguars 30-13 over Ravens”

    Hit · 86Scored 85.71a naive guess scored 0+133.71 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    33-10
    skill:
    133.71
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    85.71
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    23
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.38
    predicted margin:
    17

    Closing line (Nov 5): Jaguars by 8.5, total 40.5 · this 30–13 calls a bigger Jaguars win (by 17) and more points (43).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Buffalo Bills 24 — Vikings 17

    “PICK: Bills 24-17 over Vikings”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Joe Fagnano to be 1st on the depth chart

    “the Ravens will likely go into this game with an undrafted rookie (Joe Fagnano) as their starting quarterback”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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  • “Tyler Huntley suffered a toe injury and likely won't be able to play this week. (Week 9)”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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