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Nate Tice· Oct 1, 2026

Tice picked the Jaguars over the Bengals, the Chiefs over the Raiders, the 49ers over the Broncos, the Rams over the Eagles, the Lions over the Panthers, and the Packers over the Buccaneers. He also predicted 70 or more combined points in Lions-Panthers and said Caleb Johnson will be Green Bay's lead back.

“I think there will be 70 or more points scored in lions, panthers.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Football 301 with Nate Tice (podcast) · read the original →

7 checkable claims — 6 game outcome picks and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

6 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 83.3 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

The games in this take

7 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ersOct 1, 2026

    San Francisco 49ers to beat Broncos

    “No. That's where I'm going with too. I think it's forty Niners. I'm going here.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    14-24
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SF
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    15

    Closing line (Oct 4): 49ers by 3 · favorite pick, 49ers 60%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksDetroit LionsOct 1, 2026

    Detroit Lions to beat Panthers

    “Yeah. Yeah. I'm also going lions... I think the lions just get more big plays.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-183 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CAR
    score:
    26-32
    skill:
    −183
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    CAR
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    15

    Closing line (Oct 4): Lions by 4.5 · favorite pick, Lions about 2 in 3 (66%).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles RamsOct 1, 2026

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Eagles

    “yeah, I think the Rams, this is this is a good matchup for them right now.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+183 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    LAR
    score:
    24-20
    skill:
    183
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    15

    Closing line (Oct 4): Rams by 3.5 · favorite pick, Rams 64%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsOct 1, 2026

    Kansas City Chiefs to beat Raiders

    “So I'm also going Chiefs, though.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+183 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    KC
    score:
    30-27
    skill:
    183
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LV
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    15

    Closing line (Oct 4): Chiefs by 4.5 · favorite pick, Chiefs about 2 in 3 (66%).

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksGreen Bay PackersOct 1, 2026

    Green Bay Packers to beat Bucs

    “I think they're desperate. They're also coming off a mini buy, so I'm going Packers here.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+183 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    GB
    score:
    17-14
    skill:
    183
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    TB
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    15

    Closing line (Oct 4): Packers by 3 · favorite pick, Packers 58%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksJacksonville JaguarsOct 1, 2026

    Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Bengals

    “I'm going Jags, but it's not feeling great on it... So Jaguars, and I do think there's gonna be a lot of points.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+183 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    JAX
    score:
    22-17
    skill:
    183
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    CIN
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    15

    Closing line (Oct 4): Bengals by 2.5 · underdog pick, Jaguars 43%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Depth Chart CallsKaleb JohnsonGreen Bay PackersOct 1, 2026

    Kaleb Johnson to be 1st on the depth chart

    “I think Caleb Johnson is gonna be the the lead back for the packers. That'd be what kinda like my mini prediction for them.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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