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Peter Schrager#19 of 87 NFL pundits · Feb 27, 2026

Schrager flagged Mississippi State's Brennan Thompson as the man likely to post the fastest 40-yard dash at this combine.

Said on air, transcribed by us · NFL Live (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100
4.26What happenedsettled
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#19Peter Schrager’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Peter Schrager said

He might have the fastest 40 time here
Our reading: Brenen Thompson to lead his drill at the combine
Where it was said
NFL Live (podcast)
The episode
Cowboys Franchise Tag George Pickens; QBs Speak at the Combine
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidFeb 27
  2. GradedAug 18

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

forty time
1They said
1What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

  1. Combine SuperlativesBrenen Thompson

    Brenen Thompson to lead his drill at the combine

    What happened4.26
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1difficulty+100skill
    How this was scored
    of:
    34
    drill:
    forty time
    naive:
    the middle of the pool (place 18)
    scope:
    WRs
    skill:
    100
    player:
    Brenen Thompson
    result:
    4.26
    season:
    2025
    combine year:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual place:
    1
    claimed place:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Combine results via Pro-Football-Reference.com.

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Others on the same people

More combine superlatives

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.