Jaime EisnerApr 1, 2026
A seven-round Falcons mock draft projecting Atlanta's five 2026 picks: CB Brandon Cisse at No. 48, IDL Darrell Jackson Jr. at No. 79, WR Brenen Thompson at No. 112, EDGE Mason Reiger at No. 215, and LB Shad Banks Jr. at No. 231. It also expects Cisse to go inside the top 50 and Jackson to be an immediate early-down contributor.
Published in writing · The Draft NetworkRead the original
2 of 6calls landed2 hits · 1 close call · 3 misses · all settled
47.5Average accuracyout of 100, across 6 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
6 of 6Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet
What Jaime Eisner said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromBrandon Cisse's draft stock has cooled a bit in recent weeks, but he still seems like a likely top-50 pick.
- Where it was published
- The Draft Network
- The piece
- Falcons 7-Round NFL Mock Draft: April Edition
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidApr 1
- GradedOct 1
- 1Darrell Jackson to be picked at number 79“Round 3 (No. 79 overall): Darrell Jackson Jr., IDL, Florida State”
- 2Brandon Cisse to be picked at number 50“he still seems like a likely top-50 pick”
- 3Brenen Thompson to be picked at number 112“Round 4 (No. 112 overall): Brenen Thompson, WR, Mississippi State”
- 4Shad Banks to be picked at number 231“Round 7 (No. 231 overall): Shad Banks Jr., LB, UTSA”
- 5Brandon Cisse to be picked at number 48“Round 2 (No. 48 overall): Brandon Cisse, CB, South Carolina”
- 6Mason Reiger to be picked at number 215“Round 6 (No. 215 overall): Mason Reiger, EDGE, Wisconsin”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darrell Jackson to be picked at number 791 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 103 | 35.36 | 50 | +47.43 | |
| Brandon Cisse to be picked at number 502 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 52 | 91.7 | 50 | +47.43 | |
| Brenen Thompson to be picked at number 1123 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 105 | 73.84 | 50 | +47.43 | |
| Shad Banks to be picked at number 2314 | Mock Draft Picks | Went undrafted | 0 | 50 | +47.43 | |
| Brandon Cisse to be picked at number 485 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 52 | 84.09 | 50 | +47.43 | |
| Mason Reiger to be picked at number 2156 | Mock Draft Picks | Went undrafted | 0 | 50 | +47.43 | |
| 6 calls · 2 hits · 1 close call · 3 misses · all settled | 47.5 | 50 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive6 checkable claims — 6 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 6 have settled, averaging 47.5 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
overall pick79They said
103What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
1Mock Draft PicksDarrell JacksonAtlanta Falcons
Darrell Jackson to be picked at number 79
What happenedWent 103mocked at 7935.36Miss · naive 5097.43this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=47.43better than naive×1difficulty=+47.43skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 47.43
- player:
- Darrell Jackson
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 35.36
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 103
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 35.36
- predicted pick:
- 79
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 97.43
2Mock Draft PicksBrandon Cisse
Brandon Cisse to be picked at number 50
What happenedWent 52mocked at 5091.7Hit · naive 5097.43this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=47.43better than naive×1difficulty=+47.43skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 47.43
- player:
- Brandon Cisse
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 52
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- top-50 (picks 1–50)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 97.43
3Mock Draft PicksBrenen ThompsonAtlanta Falcons
Brenen Thompson to be picked at number 112
What happenedWent 105mocked at 11273.84Close · naive 5097.43this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=47.43better than naive×1difficulty=+47.43skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 47.43
- player:
- Brenen Thompson
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 73.84
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 105
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 73.84
- predicted pick:
- 112
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 97.43
4Mock Draft PicksShad BanksAtlanta Falcons
Shad Banks to be picked at number 231
What happenedWent undraftedmocked at 2310Miss · naive 5097.43this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=47.43better than naive×1difficulty=+47.43skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 47.43
- player:
- Shad Banks
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with TEN
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 231
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 97.43
5Mock Draft PicksBrandon CisseAtlanta Falcons
Brandon Cisse to be picked at number 48
What happenedWent 52mocked at 4884.09Hit · naive 5097.43this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=47.43better than naive×1difficulty=+47.43skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 47.43
- player:
- Brandon Cisse
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 84.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 52
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 84.09
- predicted pick:
- 48
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 97.43
6Mock Draft PicksMason ReigerAtlanta Falcons
Mason Reiger to be picked at number 215
What happenedWent undraftedmocked at 2150Miss · naive 5097.43this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=47.43better than naive×1difficulty=+47.43skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 47.43
- player:
- Mason Reiger
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with PHI
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 215
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 97.43
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 6 settled calls, each counted once
47.5naive 50
Who this take is about
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