Jeremiah says Fernando Mendoza is the best player in the draft and a lock to be the first overall pick by the Raiders, grades them behind the 2024 trio of Caleb Williams, Drake Maye and Jayden Daniels, and outlines a mock draft with David Bailey to the Jets, Reese falling to seventh, Ruben Bain to the Titans, and Tate to the Giants at five. They also expect Ty Simpson to go outside the first round, names Brennan Thompson as the favorite for the fastest 40 at the combine, and expects Mendoza not to throw while Simpson does.

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

50

player:

Fernando Mendoza

season:

2025

zero credit this far off:

32

accuracy:

100

baseline:

50

actual pick:

1

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

100

predicted pick:

1

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

100

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

50

player:

Ty Simpson

season:

2025

zero credit this far off:

32

accuracy:

0

baseline:

50

actual pick:

13

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

0

predicted pick:

outside the first round (NOT picks 1–32)

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

100

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

50

player:

Carnell Tate

season:

2025

zero credit this far off:

32

accuracy:

95.76

baseline:

50

actual pick:

4

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

95.76

predicted pick:

5

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

100

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

50

player:

Jeremiyah Love

season:

2025

zero credit this far off:

32

accuracy:

100

baseline:

50

actual pick:

3

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

100

predicted pick:

lock first round grade (picks 1–32)

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

100

draft:

2026

naive:

a shuffled mock scores 50

skill:

50

player:

Arvell Reese

season:

2025

zero credit this far off:

32

accuracy:

91.7

baseline:

50

actual pick:

5

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

pick accuracy:

91.7

predicted pick:

7

weeks left when called:

0

mock ordering score:

100

of:

34

drill:

forty time

naive:

the middle of the pool (place 18)

scope:

WRs

skill:

100

player:

Brenen Thompson

result:

4.26

season:

2025

combine year:

2026

accuracy:

100

baseline:

0

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

actual place:

1

claimed place:

1

weeks left when called:

0

Combine results via Pro-Football-Reference.com.

draft:

2026

naive:

naming one of the 10 at random averages 33.08

skill:

66.92

player:

Fernando Mendoza

season:

2025

zero credit this far off:

credit halves every two places

accuracy:

100

baseline:

33.08

position:

quarterback

class size:

10

difficulty:

1

weeks in the season:

18

actual order:

1

predicted order:

1

weeks left when called:

0