Matt MillerFeb 23, 2026
Miller says Fernando Mendoza will be the No. 1 overall pick and hypes Oregon tight end 'Kenyan' (Kenyon Sadiq) as a first-round pick who could be the best performer at the combine with a vertical over 41 inches.
Said on air, transcribed by us · NFL Live (podcast)Hear the original
What Matt Miller said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromWe know Mendoza is gonna go first.
- Where it was said
- NFL Live (podcast)
- The episode
- It's Combine Week!
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidFeb 23
- GradedAug 13–18
- 1Kenyon Sadiq to post should jump over 41 inches at the combine“He should jump over 41 inches Bench press is gonna be through the roof.”
- 2Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)“I think we have one first round wide receiver that's Kenyan from Oregon who is a he's a athletic freak.”
- 3Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1“We know Mendoza is gonna go first. He's not pushing up there, but he puts himself in that conversation as a viable franchise quarterback.”
- 4Kenyon Sadiq to lead his drill at the combine“I won't be surprised if he is the best performer this week at the scouting combine.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenyon Sadiq to post should jump over 41 inches at the combine1 | Combine Measurements | 43.5 | 100 | 0 | +100 | |
| Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)2 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 16 | 100 | 50 | — | |
| Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 13 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 1 | 100 | 50 | — | |
| Kenyon Sadiq to lead his drill at the combine4 | Combine Superlatives | — | — | — | — | |
| 4 calls · 3 hits · 1 waiting | 100 | 33.3 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive4 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks, 1 combine measurement and 1 combine superlative — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Where this call stands in the room
Fernando Mendoza · 2025 season · overall pick17 calls from 13 pundits between 1 overall pick and 1 overall pick. Matt Miller said 1 overall pick. the room's median is 1 overall pick. what happened: 1 overall pick
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
1Combine MeasurementsKenyon Sadiq
Kenyon Sadiq to post should jump over 41 inches at the combine
What happened43.5100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1difficulty=+100skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- claim:
- should jump over 41 inches
- drill:
- vertical in
- naive:
- the TE median (36) misses it
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Kenyon Sadiq
- result:
- 43.5
- season:
- 2025
- combine year:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Combine results via Pro-Football-Reference.com.
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
What happenedWent 16100Hit · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Kenyon Sadiq
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 16
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- first round (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
3Mock Draft PicksFernando Mendoza
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
What happenedWent 1mocked at 1100Hit · naive 50Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Fernando Mendoza
- season:
- 2025
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
4Combine SuperlativesKenyon Sadiq
Kenyon Sadiq to lead his drill at the combine
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
100naive 33.3
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Nick Wright · Mock Draft Picks · Fernando Mendoza · Hit 100
Nick Wright unveiled their full 32-pick 2026 NFL mock draft 4.0, starting with Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1 and ending with Avion Terrell to the Seahawks at 32. They also called Carnell Tate the best/safest receiver in the class, projected Ty Simpson inside the top 45, said Mendoza profiles as a low-end top-15 NFL quarterback, and expected the Dolphins to lose 15 games.Danny Parkins · Mock Draft Picks · Fernando Mendoza · Hit 100
Danny Parkins presented their one-and-only 2026 mock draft, including trades: Mendoza at 1 to the Raiders, David Bailey second to the Jets, the Cowboys trading up to No. 3 for Arvell Reese, the Bears trading up to 16 for Kadyn Proctor, and Ty Simpson going to Arizona at 32 at the end of round one.David Harrison · Mock Draft Picks · Kenyon Sadiq · Hit 88
Harrison delivers their only first-round mock draft for the 2026 NFL Draft, projecting all 32 first-round picks (including several trades) plus the rest of Washington's projected class, while noting it is an exercise in what could happen rather than a firm forecast.Rich Eisen · Mock Draft Picks · Fernando Mendoza · Hit 100
Eisen laid out their "come at me" mock draft of the top 10 picks of the 2026 NFL Draft, including a projected Chiefs trade up to No. 3 for Arvell Reese.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Chris Simms · Mock Draft Picks · Malachi Corley · Miss 11
Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore.Philip Hughes · Mock Draft Picks · Kyle Kennard · Miss 34
Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection.Blaine Grisak · Mock Draft Picks · Brian Thomas Jr. · Hit 84
Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of their own from the 2024 pre-draft period, they suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19.Charlie Campbell · Mock Draft Picks · Xavier Williams · Miss 0
Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare.