Skip to main content

Russell Baxter· Oct 14, 2026

Baxter picks the Seahawks to beat the Broncos 18-14, with Seattle's defense stifling Denver and the offense settling for six Jason Myers field goals.

“The 'Hawks settle for six Jason Meyers field goals and escape the Mile High City with a victory.”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 47.6 out of 100, against 93.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

The game in this take

1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Seattle Seahawks 18 — Broncos 14

    “Russell Baxter: Seahawks 18, Broncos 14”

    Close · 48Scored 47.62a naive guess scored 93.6-79.09 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    14-17
    skill:
    −79.09
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    47.62
    baseline:
    93.6
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    13
    naive home margin:
    0.31
    predicted margin:
    4

    Closing line (Oct 15): Seahawks by 2.5, total 40.5 · this 18–14 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 4) and fewer points (32).

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these