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Chris RolingOct 29, 2026

Roling argues the Chargers will not trade Justin Herbert, while suggesting trades of Khalil Mack and Quentin Johnston make sense as the team sells at the deadline, with Ladd McConkey as the centerpiece of a rebuilt receiver room.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

Waiting3 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 3Settled3 still waiting
3Waitingnot graded yet

What Chris Roling said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
But trading Herbert is an obvious no-go.
Chris Roling, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Proposed Chargers, Jets Justin Herbert Trade Gets Some Interesting Cost Numbers
The original
Read the original
  1. 1Quentin Johnston to move — “offloaded in a trade”“Offloading Quentin Johnston before rebuilding the entire wideout depth chart around Ladd McConkey does, too.”
  2. 2Justin Herbert to stay with Los Angeles Chargers“But trading Herbert is an obvious no-go.”
  3. 3Khalil Mack to move — “traded at the deadline”“Trading Khalil Mack makes sense.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Quentin Johnston to move — “offloaded in a trade”1Trade and Signing Calls————
Justin Herbert to stay with Los Angeles Chargers2Trade and Signing Calls————
Khalil Mack to move — “traded at the deadline”3Trade and Signing Calls————
3 calls · 3 waiting——

How each call scored

3 checkable claims — 3 trade and signing calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Trade and Signing CallsQuentin Johnston

    Quentin Johnston to move — “offloaded in a trade”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Trade and Signing CallsJustin HerbertLos Angeles Chargers

    Justin Herbert to stay with Los Angeles Chargers

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Trade and Signing CallsKhalil Mack

    Khalil Mack to move — “traded at the deadline”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.