Matt Harmon· Jun 5, 2025
In a snake-draft of the best NFL wide receivers for the 2025 season, Harmon's ten selections (at overall picks 1, 4, 7, 10, 13, 16, 19, 22, 25 and 28) headlined by Ja'Marr Chase at No. 1 and Nico Collins at No. 4. He also made several depth-chart calls, including Travis Hunter as Jacksonville's No. 2 receiver behind Brian Thomas Jr., and predicted Riley Leonard will make starts for the Colts.
“I'm gonna go ahead and give it Jamar Chase off the top here because he's coming off the best year.”
said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
6 checkable claims — 5 depth chart calls and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 8 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
5 of 6 have settled so far, averaging 84 out of 100, against 83.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the rest of the room.
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Who this take is about
6 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Top Player ListsJun 5, 2025
“Harmon's picks in the top-30 wide receiver draft: Jamar Chase (1), Nico Collins (4), Amon-Ra St. Brown (7), Malik Nabers (10), Ladd McConkey (13), Garrett Wilson (16), Brandon Aiyuk (19), Chris Godwin (22), Travis Hunter (25), Zay Flowers (28)”
Close · 70Scored 70.24a naive guess scored 50+40.48 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- 40.48
- placed:
- 8
- season:
- 2025
- players:
- 10
- accuracy:
- 70.24
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- WR 8: 70.24
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Brian Thomas Jr. to be 1st on the depth chart
“He will probably be the second fiddle on his team because Brian Thomas Junior is really really good.”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 83.33+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- JAX
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Brian Thomas Jr.
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 83.33
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- receptions
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Depth Chart CallsZay FlowersBaltimore RavensJun 5, 2025
Zay Flowers to be 2nd on the depth chart
“I feel like it's a little disrespectful to not have Zay Flowers taken even if he is the second best wide receiver on his team.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- BAL
- skill:
- -16.67
- player:
- Zay Flowers
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- receptions
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Michael Pittman to be 2nd on the depth chart
“Michael Pittman's not coming off his best year... He's like a rock solid number two receiver.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 91.67+0 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- IND
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Michael Pittman
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- WR
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- receptions
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Riley Leonard to be 1st on the depth chart
“Riley Leonard is probably gonna make starts for this team this year. I mean, I just think that's very much in the range of outcomes.”
Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 91.67-16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- IND
- skill:
- -16.67
- player:
- Riley Leonard
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 83.33
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- QB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- passing yards
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
Travis Hunter to be 2nd on the depth chart
“He will probably be the second fiddle on his team because Brian Thomas Junior is really really good... and I think that he will primarily be a wide receiver for the Jacksonville Jaguars.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Baltimore RavensHit · 98Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsMiss · 0Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro.
- Jaron SporGame Outcome Picks · Jacksonville JaguarsMiss · 0The host predicted a comfortable Buccaneers win over Cleveland, 27-10, picked Jacksonville as an upset winner at Denver, said the Giants could win seven or eight games as a sneaky team, and expected Deshaun Watson and the Browns to part ways soon.
- Tracy SandlerGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Sandler predicted Caleb Williams would miss two to three weeks with his hamstring injury, and in the picks segment took the Broncos, Ravens, Vikings, Bills and Bears (switching off an earlier Tampa pick).
More depth chart calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Pat FitzmauriceDepth Chart Calls · Jonah ColemanMiss · 0In his Week 3 waiver column, Fitzmaurice makes several depth-chart calls around injuries: Jonah Coleman leading Denver's backfield, Marcus Mariota taking over in Washington, Michael Penix Jr. starting once healthy, and Malik Washington serving as Miami's top receiver, plus availability expectations for Detroit's injured safeties.
- Fox SportsDepth Chart Calls · Michael Penix Jr.Hit · 100Fox Sports states that a healthy Tua Tagovailoa will serve as Atlanta's backup quarterback in Week 3, with Michael Penix Jr. handling the starting duties against Green Bay.
- Pat FitzmauriceDepth Chart Calls · Aaron JonesHit · 100In previewing the 10 most intriguing fantasy performers of Week 2, Fitzmaurice expects Atlanta's quarterback problems to persist with Tua Tagovailoa unlikely to play and Michael Penix Jr. not ready to return, flags Falcons slot corner Billy Bowman Jr. as a possible Week 2 returnee, and describes Aaron Jones as Minnesota's lead back and Kaelon Black as the clear backup to Christian McCaffrey in San Francisco.
- Matt SeveranceDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100The CBS Sports preview backs Tampa Bay to beat Cleveland in the Bucs' Week 2 home opener, and states that Deshaun Watson — not Shedeur Sanders — will be Cleveland's starting quarterback in Week 2.
- Rafael ZamoranoDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100Zamorano reports Watson will start Week 2 at Tampa Bay and suggests there's little reason to expect improvement, raising the possibility Watson's five-year contract never yields more than single-digit wins.
- Rich HribarDepth Chart Calls · Tua TagovailoaMiss · 0Hribar expects Tua Tagovailoa to be Atlanta's starting quarterback for Week 2 while Michael Penix stays out, with Penix's return closer to Week 4. He is unenthusiastic about the Falcons' offense either way and treats Bryce Young as a fringe fantasy starter.