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Jim DanielsJan 8, 2026

Daniels called the Jaguars frauds and said they would be one-and-done in the wild card round, with Buffalo beating them because Josh Allen won't lose to Trevor Lawrence.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Chargers (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100
Game Outcome PicksThe callsettled
0A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
+100Skillafter difficulty

What Jim Daniels said

There's no way Josh Allen lets Trevor Lawrence get over on him.
Our reading: Buffalo Bills to beat Jaguars
Where it was said
Locked On Chargers (podcast)
The episode
CHARGERS SQUAD: DEFENSE: Can the Chargers' Top-5 Unit DOMINATE Patriots & End Road Playoff Drought With Justin Herbert?
The original
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  1. SaidJan 8
  2. GradedAug 14

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills to beat Jaguars

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1difficulty+100skill

    Closing line (Jan 11): Jaguars by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bills 47%, Jaguars 53%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    27-24
    skill:
    100
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    JAX
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
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