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Jared Dubin· Oct 29, 2026

Dubin picks the Packers to beat the Panthers on Thursday night, predicting Green Bay wins with explosive passing plays against a depleted Carolina secondary.

“Prediction: Packers 24, Panthers 17”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 97.6 out of 100, against 79.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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  • Green Bay Packers 24 — Panthers 17

    “Prediction: Packers 24, Panthers 17”

    Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 79.94+28.47 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    19-27
    skill:
    28.47
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    97.62
    baseline:
    79.94
    difficulty:
    1.61
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    11
    naive home margin:
    −0.43
    predicted margin:
    7

    Closing line (Oct 29): Packers by 3.5, total 47.5 · this 24–17 calls a bigger Packers win (by 7) and fewer points (41).

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