Colleen WolfeJan 7, 2026
Wolfe picked Drake Maye as MVP over Matthew Stafford, Jaxon Smith-Njigba as Offensive Player of the Year, Mike Vrabel as Coach of the Year and Brian Flores as Assistant Coach of the Year.
Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original
What Colleen Wolfe said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromSo for me, Drake May is the MVP.
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- Move the Sticks (podcast)
- The episode
- 2025 NFL Awards Predictions and Holiday Cards
- The original
- Hear the original
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The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidJan 7
- GradedAug 7
- 1Drake Maye to win MVP“I was between Matthew Stafford and Drake May, and I'm giving the award to Drake May.”
- 2Mike Rabel to win Coach of the Year“I'll give it to Mike Rabel. Okay, Mike Rabel is the coach of the year.”
- 3Jaxon Smith-Njigba to win Offensive Player of the Year“I went with Jackson Smith and Jig Bow. He just was so on it this entire year.”
- 4Brian Flores to win Assistant Coach of the Year“I was between Brian Flores and Jeff Hafley for the too ... I liked Brian Flores for this award”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Maye to win MVP1 | Award Picks | Matthew Stafford won | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mike Rabel to win Coach of the Year2 | Coach Award Picks | Mike Vrabel won | 100 | 0 | +100 | |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba to win Offensive Player of the Year3 | Award Picks | Jaxon Smith-Njigba won | 100 | 0 | +100 | |
| Brian Flores to win Assistant Coach of the Year4 | Coach Award Picks | Josh McDaniels won | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 calls · 2 hits · 2 misses · all settled | 50 | 0 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive4 checkable claims — 2 award picks and 2 coach award picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 4 have settled, averaging 50 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Award PicksDrake MayeNew England Patriots
Drake Maye to win MVP
What happenedMatthew Stafford woncalled Drake Maye0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Drake Maye
- season:
- 2025
- who won:
- Matthew Stafford
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Mike Rabel to win Coach of the Year
What happenedMike Vrabel won100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1difficulty=+100skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- coach_of_the_year
- coach:
- Mike Vrabel
- naive:
- the naive pick was Kevin O'Connell, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 100
- season:
- 2025
- who won:
- Mike Vrabel
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
3Award PicksJaxon Smith-NjigbaSeattle Seahawks
Jaxon Smith-Njigba to win Offensive Player of the Year
What happenedJaxon Smith-Njigba won100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1difficulty=+100skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- offensive_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Saquon Barkley, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba
- season:
- 2025
- who won:
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Brian Flores to win Assistant Coach of the Year
What happenedJosh McDaniels woncalled Brian Flores0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1difficulty=0skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- assistant_coach_of_the_year
- coach:
- Brian Flores
- naive:
- we hold no 2024 winner, so the naive pick scored 0
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- who won:
- Josh McDaniels
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once
50naive 0
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup.Tyler Sullivan · Game Outcome Picks · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9.Dave Richard · Game Outcome Picks · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.John Pluym · Game Outcome Picks · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Pluym picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.Pamela Maldonado · Game Outcome Picks · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Maldonado picks the Seahawks in Week 9.
More coach award picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Matt Hasselbeck · Coach Award Picks · Miss 0
Hasselbeck agreed on the Bills and Ravens as AFC division winners, picked the Colts (with Daniel Jones) to win the AFC South, the Broncos to win the AFC West, the Seahawks to win the NFC West, and tabbed Brian Flores for a Coach of the Year-type honor. They also said the Patriots would make a big jump and potentially reach the playoffs, and named Minnesota, Las Vegas, New England and Chicago as offseason winners.Richard Sherman · Coach Award Picks · Hit 100
Sherman picked the Eagles, Vikings, Ravens and Bills in their wild-card games, named Lamar Jackson MVP, Patrick Surtain DPOY, Kevin O'Connell Coach of the Year, put Jared Verse in the top three of Defensive Rookie of the Year voting, and gave a Week 18 power ranking with Kansas City first.Pat Gustavson · Coach Award Picks · Miss 0
Gustafson picked the Bears, Eagles, Rams, Patriots, Jaguars and Texans in the wild card round, the Rams and Bears in the NFC, the Broncos and Patriots in the AFC, and the Patriots to beat the Bears in the Super Bowl. Their awards slate included Stafford for MVP, Puka for OPOY and Liam Cohen for Coach of the Year.Brandon Carney · Coach Award Picks · Hit 100
Carney made a full playoff bracket, picking the Bears, Niners, Rams, Patriots, Jaguars and Texans in the wild card round, then Seahawks and Rams in the NFC divisional, Broncos and Patriots in the AFC, with the Rams beating the Patriots in the Super Bowl. They also gave award picks including Stafford for MVP and Vrabel for Coach of the Year.Rich Eisen · Coach Award Picks · Hit 100
Eisen gave their Week 13 power rankings, with the Rams first, Patriots second and the Cowboys entering at No. 10, and also named New England and Philadelphia as the first teams to clinch playoff spots, picked Seattle to beat Minnesota, and tabbed Drake Maye as an MVP finalist and Mike Vrabel as Coach of the Year.