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Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 13, 2025

Eisen said they expect the Rams to beat the Vikings in the Monday night wild card game, a pick they also made on Sunday's Game Day Morning.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original

100Hit · out of 100
Game Outcome PicksThe callsettled
100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
100This callout of 100
#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

I'm concerned that the Rams, if they win it, which I think they will
Our reading: Los Angeles Rams to beat Vikings
The episode
NFL Wild Card Weekend: Jayden Daniels is Going to Beat the 1-Seed
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidJan 13, 2025
  2. GradedAug 17, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to beat Vikings

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive1difficulty0skill

    Closing line (Jan 13): Vikings by 2.5 · underdog pick, Rams 44%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    LAR
    score:
    9-27
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2024
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

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