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Ralph VacchianoOct 20, 2026

Vacchiano published their Week 7 NFL power rankings, with the 49ers first and the Dolphins last, while also picking the 49ers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta, doubting the Saints can beat the Steelers in Paris, and calling the Texans a good bet to make the playoffs after their 0-4 start.

Published in writing · Fox SportsRead the original

1 of 2calls landed1 hit · 1 miss · 2 waiting
50Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2Games calledeveryone’s picks below
2Waitingnot graded yet

What Ralph Vacchiano said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
If the Texans can fix it, they're a good bet to become the second-ever team to start 0-4 and make the playoffs.
Ralph Vacchiano, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Fox Sports
The piece
2026 NFL Power Rankings Week 7: Are The Packers For Real? Are The Rams Frauds?
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidOct 19
  2. PlayedOct 25
  3. GradedOct 25
  1. 1Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Saints“Now they'll all head to Paris for a game against the Steelers ... A win there would give them a nice boost heading into their bye week. But the way their defense nearly threw away the game against the Giants, I wouldn't count on that.”
  2. 2San Francisco 49ers to beat Atlanta Falcons“The Falcons' hopes will probably get dashed next Sunday at home against the 49ers ... So let that be a small consolation when Sunday comes and they fall to 2-5.”
  3. 3Houston Texans to make the playoffs“If the Texans can fix it, they're a good bet to become the second-ever team to start 0-4 and make the playoffs.”
  4. 4Power Rankings“2026 NFL Power Rankings Week 7 — 32. Miami Dolphins ... 1. San Francisco 49ers”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Saints1Game Outcome PicksSteelers 16–101000+167
San Francisco 49ers to beat Atlanta Falcons2Game Outcome PicksFalcons 29–200100−167
Houston Texans to make the playoffs3Playoff Picks————
“2026 NFL Power Rankings Week 7 — 32. Miami Dolphins ... 1. San…”4Power Rankings————
4 calls · 1 hit · 1 miss · 2 waiting5050

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

4 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks, 1 playoff pick and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksPittsburgh Steelers

    Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Saints

    What happenedSteelers 16–10Steelers at Saints
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.67difficulty+167skill

    Closing line (Oct 25): Steelers by 3 · favorite pick, Steelers 59%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    PIT
    score:
    16-10
    skill:
    167
    they picked:
    PIT
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    NO
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    12
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ers

    San Francisco 49ers to beat Atlanta Falcons

    What happenedFalcons 29–2049ers at Falcons
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.67difficulty−167skill

    Closing line (Oct 25): 49ers by 2.5 · favorite pick, 49ers 58%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    ATL
    score:
    20-29
    skill:
    −167
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    ATL
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    12
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Playoff PicksHouston Texans

    Houston Texans to make the playoffs

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. 4Power Rankings

    “2026 NFL Power Rankings Week 7 — 32. Miami Dolphins ... 1. San Francisco 49ers”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    50naive 50

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.