Ralph VacchianoOct 20, 2026
Vacchiano published their Week 7 NFL power rankings, with the 49ers first and the Dolphins last, while also picking the 49ers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta, doubting the Saints can beat the Steelers in Paris, and calling the Texans a good bet to make the playoffs after their 0-4 start.
Published in writing · Fox SportsRead the original
What Ralph Vacchiano said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromIf the Texans can fix it, they're a good bet to become the second-ever team to start 0-4 and make the playoffs.
- Where it was published
- Fox Sports
- The piece
- 2026 NFL Power Rankings Week 7: Are The Packers For Real? Are The Rams Frauds?
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidOct 19
- PlayedOct 25
- GradedOct 25
- 1Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Saints“Now they'll all head to Paris for a game against the Steelers ... A win there would give them a nice boost heading into their bye week. But the way their defense nearly threw away the game against the Giants, I wouldn't count on that.”
- 2San Francisco 49ers to beat Atlanta Falcons“The Falcons' hopes will probably get dashed next Sunday at home against the 49ers ... So let that be a small consolation when Sunday comes and they fall to 2-5.”
- 3Houston Texans to make the playoffs“If the Texans can fix it, they're a good bet to become the second-ever team to start 0-4 and make the playoffs.”
- 4Power Rankings“2026 NFL Power Rankings Week 7 — 32. Miami Dolphins ... 1. San Francisco 49ers”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Saints1 | Game Outcome Picks | Steelers 16–10 | 100 | 0 | +167 | |
| San Francisco 49ers to beat Atlanta Falcons2 | Game Outcome Picks | Falcons 29–20 | 0 | 100 | −167 | |
| Houston Texans to make the playoffs3 | Playoff Picks | — | — | — | — | |
| “2026 NFL Power Rankings Week 7 — 32. Miami Dolphins ... 1. San…”4 | Power Rankings | — | — | — | — | |
| 4 calls · 1 hit · 1 miss · 2 waiting | 50 | 50 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive4 checkable claims — 2 game outcome picks, 1 playoff pick and 1 power ranking — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
2 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Game Outcome PicksPittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Saints
What happenedSteelers 16–10Steelers at Saints100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.67difficulty=+167skillClosing line (Oct 25): Steelers by 3 · favorite pick, Steelers 59%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- PIT
- score:
- 16-10
- skill:
- 167
- they picked:
- PIT
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- NO
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
2Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers to beat Atlanta Falcons
What happenedFalcons 29–2049ers at Falcons0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×1.67difficulty=−167skillClosing line (Oct 25): 49ers by 2.5 · favorite pick, 49ers 58%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- ATL
- score:
- 20-29
- skill:
- −167
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- ATL
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
Houston Texans to make the playoffs
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
“2026 NFL Power Rankings Week 7 — 32. Miami Dolphins ... 1. San Francisco 49ers”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
50naive 50
The games in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
Others on the same people
Bryan DeArdo · Trade and Signing Calls · Joey Porter Jr. · Miss 0
The piece predicts Joey Porter Jr. most likely stays with the Steelers through 2026, while listing possible trade destinations if they were moved.Bobby Skinner · Trade and Signing Calls · Stefon Diggs · Miss 0
Skinner predicted Daniel Jones signs with and wins the starting job in Indianapolis, Milton Williams to New England, Lavonte David back to Tampa, Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams to the Giants, DJ Reid to Arizona, Hassan Reddick to Washington and Justin Fields staying in Pittsburgh, plus alternates they had listed.AJ Hawk · Game Outcome Picks · San Francisco 49ers · Hit 100
Hawk said the Chiefs would beat the Jets, the Seahawks would beat the Cardinals, and the 49ers would beat the Raiders, even while taking the points with the underdogs in each case.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Conor Orr · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10.Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens.Mitch Goldich · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Matt Verderame · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.