Colin Cowherd#54 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 20, 2025

Cowherd picks Buffalo to win at Arrowhead in the AFC Championship game, believes the AFC's Chiefs or Bills will win the Super Bowl, thinks Detroit remains a double-digit win team offensively but may slip, expects New England to make the playoffs next season, and takes Ohio State over Notre Dame.

Said on air or in an interview · The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast)Hear the original

0 of 3calls landed3 misses · all settled

0Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls

68.3A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

3 of 3Settlednone still waiting

#54Colin Cowherd’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Colin Cowherd said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

I think Buffalo is going to go into Arrowhead and win.

Colin Cowherd, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was said: The Colin Cowherd Podcast (podcast)
The episode: Colin Cowherd Podcast - Bills Outlast Ravens, Eagles Beat Rams, AFC/NFC Championship Picks, National Championship Preview
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidJan 20, 2025
GradedAug 5–17, 2026

1Buffalo Bills to beat Kansas City“I took Buffalo plus one and a half today. I think Buffalo is going to go into Arrowhead and win. They're they're pretty healthy.”
2Detroit Lions to finish with 10 wins“But I think because of their own line and running game. I think offensively, they're a double digit win team for the next three to four years.”
3New England Patriots to make the playoffs“I think I think the next year they're gonna Patriots could make the playoffs”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Naive	Skill
Buffalo Bills to beat Kansas City¹	Game Outcome Picks	—	100	−100
Detroit Lions to finish with 10 wins²	Season Win Totals	15	5	−5
New England Patriots to make the playoffs³	Playoff Picks	Missed the playoffs	100	−100
3 calls · 3 misses · all settled			68.3

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick, 1 playoff pick and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 0 out of 100, against 68.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Game Outcome Picks Buffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills to beat Kansas City
VerdictMiss
0Miss · naive 100
0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1difficulty−100skill
Closing line (Jan 26): Chiefs by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bills 48%, Chiefs 52%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
How this was scored
won:
KC
score:
29-32
skill:
−100
they picked:
BUF
season:
2024
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive pick:
KC
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
2Season Win Totals Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions to finish with 10 wins
What happened15called 10
0Miss · naive 5
0this call5a naive guess−5worse than naive1difficulty−5skill
How this was scored
team:
DET
naive:
10.25
skill:
−5
what happened:
15
season:
2024
zero credit this far off:
5
accuracy:
0
baseline:
5
they said:
10
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
3Playoff Picks New England Patriots
New England Patriots to make the playoffs
What happenedMissed the playoffs
0Miss · naive 100
0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1difficulty−100skill
How this was scored
team:
NE
skill:
−100
season:
2024
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
0naive 68.3