Skip to main content
MissedTakes
Menu

Jared Koch#1 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 24, 2026

Koch highlights five Texans preseason standouts, suggesting Jared Wayne could claim the final receiver roster spot, Aiden Fisher could sneak onto the 53-man roster, Jaylen Reed has locked in a Week 1 roster spot, Marlin Klein will climb the tight end depth chart, and Wade Woodaz has a solid chance at the LB3 role.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

2 of 2calls landed2 hits · 2 waiting
100Average accuracyout of 100, across 2 calls
50A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
2 of 4Settled2 still waiting
#1Jared Koch’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jared Koch said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
But when he is back, there's a pretty solid chance he finds his way to that LB3 role on the depth chart that's been wide open since E.J. Speed's been out with a torn quad.
Jared Koch, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Texans’ Biggest Surprise Standouts From Preseason So Far
The original
Read the original
Read it wrong?
Tell us and we will look
  1. SaidAug 24
  2. GradedSep 25–Oct 1
  1. 1Aiden Fisher to make the roster“might be the perfect storm for Fisher to be someone who sneaks onto a 53-man roster spot”
  2. 2Jared Wayne to make the roster“But Wayne's recent performance could be creating an extremely compelling case that makes him the final name at the position to make it onto the roster past cutdown day.”
  3. 3Jaylen Reed to make the roster“Reed's chances to make the Week 1 roster were already pretty solidified entering training camp, but production like this certainly does lock that status in even further”
  4. 4Wade Woodaz to be 3rd on the depth chart“there's a pretty solid chance he finds his way to that LB3 role on the depth chart”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Aiden Fisher to make the roster1Roster Spot Calls4 weeks on a 531000+200
Jared Wayne to make the roster2Roster Spot Calls3 weeks on a 531001000
Jaylen Reed to make the roster3Roster Spot Calls————
Wade Woodaz to be 3rd on the depth chart4Depth Chart Calls————
4 calls · 2 hits · 2 waiting10050

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

4 checkable claims — 3 roster spot calls and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Roster Spot CallsAiden FisherHouston Texans

    Aiden Fisher to make the roster

    What happened4 weeks on a 53
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    HOU
    skill:
    200
    player:
    Aiden Fisher
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Roster Spot CallsJared WayneHouston Texans

    Jared Wayne to make the roster

    What happened3 weeks on a 53
    100Hit · naive 100
    100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    HOU
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Jared Wayne
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he makes the 53
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks on the53:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    18
    first week on the53:
    1
    weeks on the practice squad:
    0
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Roster Spot CallsJaylen ReedHouston Texans

    Jaylen Reed to make the roster

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Depth Chart CallsWade WoodazHouston Texans

    Wade Woodaz to be 3rd on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?
  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once

    100naive 50

Who this take is about

Where do you stand on this one?Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

More roster spot calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these