Jerry MarkarianOct 8, 2026
Markarian predicts the Bears, despite starting backup QB Tyson Bagent, have a good chance to beat the Packers at Lambeau Field on Sunday.
Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original
What Jerry Markarian said
they do stand a good chance of coming out on top on Sunday
- Where it was published
- Sports Illustrated
- The piece
- When Was the Last Time the Chicago Bears Have Been Favored at Lambeau Field?
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidOct 8
- PlayedOct 11
- GradedOct 11
How the call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naiveOne checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Game Outcome PicksChicago Bears
Chicago Bears to beat Packers
What happenedPackers 31–7Bears at Packers0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×1.78difficulty=−178skillClosing line (Oct 11): Bears by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bears 53%, Packers 47%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- GB
- score:
- 7-31
- skill:
- −178
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- GB
- difficulty:
- 1.78
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 14
The game in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
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