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Michael IrvinSep 2, 2026

Playing the game-by-game "win loss" exercise, Irvin picked the Cowboys to finish 13-4, with losses only at Houston, at Philadelphia, at Seattle and at home to the Giants in Week 17.

Said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast)Hear the original

5 of 12calls landed5 hits · 7 misses · 6 waiting
41.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 12 calls
41.7A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
14Games calledeveryone’s picks below
6Waitingnot graded yet

What Michael Irvin said

Thirteen and four, y'all.
Michael Irvin, the lead quote
The episode
Hour 1: Power Rankings:  Players with most to prove,  Michael Irvin talks Cowboys, Michael Irvin & Linda Fletcher talk Fetching Fletchers
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidSep 2
  2. PlayedSep 13–Nov 8
  3. GradedSep 15–Nov 8

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Game Outcome Picks5075
Season Win Totals0001
All5076

How each call scored

18 checkable claims — 17 game outcome picks and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

12 of 18 have settled so far, averaging 41.7 out of 100, against 41.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 1 unsettled call enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the rest of the room.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game Outcome Picks5 hits · 7 misses · 5 waitingShow ▸
  1. Dallas Cowboys to beat Colts

    “It'll be a good game because it's at the Colts, but the Cowboys will win that game. Seven and two”

    Dallas Cowboys

    Cowboys 27–23Cowboys at Colts
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    DAL
    score:
    27-23
    skill:
    200
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    IND
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Dallas Cowboys to beat Cardinals

    “Cardinals now visit. Stop playing. Okay. Subs in two at the Colts.”

    Dallas Cowboys

    Cardinals 33–30Cardinals at Cowboys
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    ARI
    score:
    33-30
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    DAL
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Philadelphia Eagles to beat Cowboys

    “visiting the Eagles on Monday night. Right here to fill it. I have to put them in. I can't ever say they will. Five and two.”

    Philadelphia Eagles

    Cowboys 38–21Cowboys at Eagles
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    DAL
    score:
    38-21
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Dallas Cowboys to beat Philadelphia

    “going into Thanksgiving against the Eagles... they beat Philadelphia at home”

    Dallas Cowboys

    Cowboys 38–21Cowboys at Eagles
    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    DAL
    score:
    38-21
    skill:
    200
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Dallas Cowboys to beat Green Bay

    “now at the packers... They'll beat Green Bay. That's a five and one record”

    Dallas Cowboys

    Packers 23–13Cowboys at Packers
    0Miss

    0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    GB
    score:
    13-23
    skill:
    −200
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    GB
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  6. Dallas Cowboys to beat Buccaneers

    “Buccaneers at the Cowboys to kick off week five on Amazon Prime. They'll beat Tampa.”

    Dallas Cowboys

    Buccaneers 24–16Buccaneers at Cowboys
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    TB
    score:
    24-16
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    DAL
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  7. Houston Texans to beat Cowboys

    “He's going to Houston. I would call that the first loss. Three and one.”

    Houston Texans

    Cowboys 34–30Cowboys at Texans
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    DAL
    score:
    34-30
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    HOU
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  8. Dallas Cowboys to beat Ravens

    “No. We we actually may win that game... The game in Rio Okay... Three and o now going to Houston.”

    Dallas Cowboys

    Ravens 34–31Ravens at Cowboys
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    BAL
    score:
    34-31
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    DAL
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  9. Dallas Cowboys to beat Washington

    “Twelve and four at Washington... If we're gonna need it, then we'll win it. Thirteen and four.”

    Dallas Cowboys

    Cowboys 37–20Commanders at Cowboys
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    DAL
    score:
    20-37
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DAL
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  10. Dallas Cowboys to beat Commanders

    “Commanders of the Cowboys is week two. Yeah. Command they'll beat the Commanders. That's two and o.”

    Dallas Cowboys

    Cowboys 37–20Commanders at Cowboys
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    DAL
    score:
    20-37
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DAL
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  11. Dallas Cowboys to beat Giants

    “Winner or loss? They'll win the game. Okay. There you go. That's one and o.”

    Dallas Cowboys

    Giants 28–20Cowboys at Giants
    0Miss

    0 − 100 naive = −100 × 2 difficulty = −200 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    NYG
    score:
    20-28
    skill:
    −200
    they picked:
    DAL
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    NYG
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  12. New York Giants to beat Cowboys

    “You you lose against New York. You're gonna the Giants are gonna come in and beat you?”

    New York Giants

    Giants 28–20Cowboys at Giants
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    won:
    NYG
    score:
    20-28
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    NYG
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    NYG
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  13. Dallas Cowboys to beat Rams

    “That's why you beat the Rams... the Cowboys are now... Eleven and three.”

    Dallas Cowboys

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  14. Dallas Cowboys to beat Jaguars

    “All for the Jaguars. And and you win in Jaguars Okay. Listen. Twelve and three.”

    Dallas Cowboys

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  15. Dallas Cowboys to beat Tennessee

    “Dallas certainly gets the Tennessee win. That's nine and two”

    Dallas Cowboys

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  16. Seattle Seahawks to beat Dallas

    “they got a a bye week after this... and Dallas loses this.”

    Seattle Seahawks

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  17. Dallas Cowboys to beat San Francisco

    “And in that honor, Dallas will beat San Francisco and get over the hump.”

    Dallas Cowboys

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Season Win Totals1 waitingShow ▸
  1. Dallas Cowboys to finish with 13 wins

    “Thirteen and four. Michael Irvin says the Cowboys are 13. Thirteen and four, y'all.”

    Dallas Cowboys

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.