Nick Wright#49 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 25, 2026
Wright guaranteed a start-to-finish Chiefs blowout of the winless Dolphins in Miami, saying Kansas City will score 30-plus for a third straight game. They also compared this year's Cowboys to last year's Bengals, pegging Dallas for roughly eight to ten wins.
Said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast)Hear the original
What Nick Wright said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromSo, yeah, I think the Chiefs win in dominant fashion.
- Where it was said
- First Things First (podcast)
- The episode
- Falcons beat Packers, Chiefs ‘will blowout’ Dolphins, BUD List, Upset Alert & Nick’s Picks
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidSep 25
- PlayedSep 27
- GradedSep 28
- 1Kansas City Chiefs to beat Dolphins“But am I guaranteeing a start to finish, never in doubt Chiefs' dominant performance? I am... So, yeah, I think the Chiefs win in dominant fashion.”
- 2Season Win Totals“I think Dallas is going to be this year's Cincinnati from last year. Like, the or where they can win eight, nine, maybe 10.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs to beat Dolphins1 | Game Outcome Picks | Chiefs 24–10 | 100 | 0 | +189 | |
| “I think Dallas is going to be this year's Cincinnati from last…”2 | Season Win Totals | — | — | — | — | |
| 2 calls · 1 hit · 1 waiting | 100 | 0 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive2 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Game Outcome PicksKansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Dolphins
What happenedChiefs 24–10Chiefs at Dolphins100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.89difficulty=+189skillClosing line (Sep 27): Chiefs by 10 · favorite pick, Chiefs about 5 in 6 (82%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- KC
- score:
- 24-10
- skill:
- 189
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- MIA
- difficulty:
- 1.89
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 16
2Season Win TotalsDallas Cowboys
“I think Dallas is going to be this year's Cincinnati from last year. Like, the or where they can win eight, nine, maybe 10.”
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
The game in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
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