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Steve WycheSep 3, 2025

Wyche picked the Ravens to beat the Commanders in the Super Bowl and leaned to the Rams, Bucs, 49ers, Steelers, Jaguars, Bengals and Broncos in their Week 1 games, plus a few backfield depth calls.

Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original

10 of 13calls landed10 hits · 3 misses · all settled
76.3Average accuracyout of 100, across 13 calls
45.5A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
13 of 13Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet

What Steve Wyche said

But the Ravens over the Commanders keeping a d crab cakes mambo sauce.
Steve Wyche, the lead quote
Where it was said
Around the NFL (podcast)
The episode
2025 NFL Week 1 Preview and Super Bowl Picks
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidSep 3, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5–17, 2026

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Conference Champions0020
Game Outcome Picks7000
Depth Chart Calls3000
Super Bowl Picks0010
All10030

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

13 checkable claims — 7 game outcome picks, 3 depth chart calls, 2 conference champions and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 14 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 13 have settled, averaging 76.3 out of 100, against 45.5 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Conference Champions2 missesShow ▸
  1. Baltimore Ravens to reach the Super Bowl

    “But the Ravens over the Commanders”

    Baltimore Ravens

    NE and SEA wonpicked BAL
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE, SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Washington Commanders to reach the Super Bowl

    “But the Ravens over the Commanders ... two teams hovering over the nation's capital fighting it out”

    Washington Commanders

    NE and SEA wonpicked WAS
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    WAS
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE, SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    no
    Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome Picks7 hitsShow ▸
  1. San Francisco 49ers to beat Seattle Seahawks

    “I think they're gonna be a good team, but not not in this game. I like Sanforancis.”

    San Francisco 49ers

    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    Closing line (Sep 7): 49ers by 2.5 · favorite pick, 49ers 55%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    17-13
    skill:
    200
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Atlanta Falcons

    “I love this game because Atlanta wins the battles and the Buccaneers win the war.”

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers

    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    Closing line (Sep 7): Buccaneers by 1.5 · a toss-up, Buccaneers 51%, Falcons 49%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    TB
    score:
    23-20
    skill:
    200
    they picked:
    TB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    ATL
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Cincinnati Bengals to beat Cleveland Browns

    “so you know, we'll see I like Cleveland to cover, like the Bengals to win”

    Cincinnati Bengals

    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    Closing line (Sep 7): Bengals by 5.5 · favorite pick, Bengals about 2 in 3 (68%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    won:
    CIN
    score:
    17-16
    skill:
    200
    they picked:
    CIN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    CLE
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Pittsburgh Steelers to beat New York Jets

    “I think that's a big blow for the Jets in this game, which is why I do like Aaron Rodgers coming back and getting some”

    Pittsburgh Steelers

    100Hit

    100 − 0 naive = 100 × 2 difficulty = +200 skill

    Closing line (Sep 7): Steelers by 3 · favorite pick, Steelers 58%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    PIT
    score:
    34-32
    skill:
    200
    they picked:
    PIT
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    NYJ
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Carolina Panthers

    “I do like Jacksonville in this game at home.”

    Jacksonville Jaguars

    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    Closing line (Sep 7): Jaguars by 4.5 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 2 in 3 (64%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    JAX
    score:
    10-26
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    JAX
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  6. Denver Broncos to beat Tennessee Titans

    “But I mean, this defense is too good and the Bonix is a real toual, So you know me, I'm you know what I do.”

    Denver Broncos

    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    Closing line (Sep 7): Broncos by 8.5 · favorite pick, Broncos about 4 in 5 (79%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    12-20
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DEN
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  7. Los Angeles Rams to beat Houston Texans

    “So I think the Rams are gonna get after Houston. I don't think it's gonna be a blowout type of game”

    Los Angeles Rams

    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    Closing line (Sep 7): Rams by 3.5 · favorite pick, Rams 60%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    LAR
    score:
    9-14
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
Depth Chart Calls3 hitsShow ▸
  1. Dylan Sampson to be 2nd on the depth chart

    “He'll be the backup to Jero and Ford, but we'll see a lot of him”

    Dylan SampsonCleveland Browns

    No. 2called No. 2 · by rushing yards
    100Hit

    100 − 100 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    CLE
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Dylan Sampson
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    RB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    2
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    rushing yards
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Brian Robinson to be 2nd on the depth chart

    “they're getting Brian Robinson, they're gonna use him like they use a lot of their other running backs. Well, he'll probably be the third quarter guy.”

    Brian RobinsonSan Francisco 49ers

    No. 2called No. 2 · by rushing yards
    100Hit

    100 − 91.67 naive = 8.33 × 2 difficulty = +16.67 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    SF
    skill:
    16.67
    player:
    Brian Robinson
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    RB
    naive slot:
    1
    actual slot:
    2
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    rushing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Zach Charbonnet to be 1st on the depth chart

    “I mean Zach Sharbona looks different. I think he can end up being the guy more show than Kenneth Walker”

    Zach CharbonnetSeattle Seahawks

    No. 2called No. 1 · by rushing yards
    91.67Hit

    91.67 − 100 naive = −8.33 × 2 difficulty = −16.67 skill

    How this was scored
    club:
    SEA
    skill:
    −16.67
    player:
    Zach Charbonnet
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    91.67
    baseline:
    100
    position:
    RB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    2
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    rushing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
Super Bowl Picks1 missShow ▸
  1. Baltimore Ravens to win the Super Bowl

    “But the Ravens over the Commanders keeping a d crab cakes mambo sauce.”

    Baltimore Ravens

    SEA won itpicked BAL
    0Miss

    0 − 0 naive = 0 × 2 difficulty = 0 skill

    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

Others on the same people

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