Bernie FrattleMar 1, 2026
The host laid out a series of NFL draft calls coming out of the combine — Fernando Mendoza first overall, Ty Simpson as the second quarterback and a first-rounder, Jeremiah Love the first running back off the board, Carnell Tate the first receiver taken, Makai Lemon going eighth to New Orleans and Deion Burks a second-rounder — and also predicted the Lakers reach the playoffs as a play-in team, Duke as the No. 1 overall NCAA seed, Arizona as a No. 1 seed and Michigan in the Final Four.
Said on air or in an interview · Fox Sports Radio (podcast)Hear the original
5 of 7calls landed5 hits · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled
79.9Average accuracyout of 100, across 7 calls
39.3A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
7 of 7Settlednone still waiting
0Waitingnot graded yet
What Bernie Frattle said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromFernando Mendoza set out the combine... he's going to be the number one pick overall barring something up for see.
- Where it was said
- Fox Sports Radio (podcast)
- The episode
- The Bernie Fratto Show talks Lakers struggles, NFL Combine, and Mayweather vs. Pacquiao + Mark Medina joins the show.
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidMar 1
- GradedAug 13–14
- 1Deion Burks to be picked “a second round grade” (picks 33–64)“Deion burk's the stud wide receiver out Of. Oklahoma ... he'll probably be a second round. Grade”
- 2Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1“Fernando mendoza set out the. Combine why does he need to? Go he's going to be the number one pick overall barring something up for see”
- 3Ty Simpson to be 2nd quarterback off the board“Now Ty, simpson he emerges as the clear cut best on the field as A qb two and a first round. Selection”
- 4Jeremiyah Love to be 1st running back off the board“Jeremiah love on A Notre. Dame he absolutely solidified his status as probably the first running back off the board”
- 5Ty Simpson to be picked “a first round selection” (picks 1–32)“he emerges as the clear cut best on the field as A qb two and a first round. Selection”
- 6Makai Lemon to be picked at number 8“that would make the Saints happen because I think they grab Makaye Lemon number eight”
- 7Carnell Tate to be 1st wide receiver off the board“Carnell Tait, he's slower than a lot of these receivers. But I'm guessing, Brandon, he's going to be the first guy off the draft board this year.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deion Burks to be picked “a second round grade” (picks 33–64)1 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 254 | 0.03 | 50 | +50 | |
| Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 12 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 1 | 100 | 50 | +50 | |
| Ty Simpson to be 2nd quarterback off the board3 | Position Order Calls | — | 100 | 39.7 | +60.3 | |
| Jeremiyah Love to be 1st running back off the board4 | Position Order Calls | — | 100 | 25.97 | +74.03 | |
| Ty Simpson to be picked “a first round selection” (picks 1–32)5 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 13 | 100 | 50 | +50 | |
| Makai Lemon to be picked at number 86 | Mock Draft Picks | Went 20 | 59.46 | 50 | +50 | |
| Carnell Tate to be 1st wide receiver off the board7 | Position Order Calls | — | 100 | 9.48 | +90.52 | |
| 7 calls · 5 hits · 1 close call · 1 miss · all settled | 79.9 | 39.3 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive7 checkable claims — 4 mock draft picks and 3 position order calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 7 have settled, averaging 79.9 out of 100, against 39.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
overall picka second round grade (picks 33–64)They said
254What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
Deion Burks to be picked “a second round grade” (picks 33–64)
What happenedWent 2540.03Miss · naive 50100this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=50better than naive×1difficulty=+50skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Deion Burks
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 0.03
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 254
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0.03
- predicted pick:
- a second round grade (picks 33–64)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
2Mock Draft PicksFernando Mendoza
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
What happenedWent 1mocked at 1100Hit · naive 50100this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=50better than naive×1difficulty=+50skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Fernando Mendoza
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
3Position Order CallsTy Simpson
Ty Simpson to be 2nd quarterback off the board
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 39.7100this call−39.7a naive guess=60.3better than naive×1difficulty=+60.3skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- naming one of the 10 at random averages 39.7
- skill:
- 60.3
- player:
- Ty Simpson
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 39.7
- position:
- quarterback
- class size:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 2
- predicted order:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
4Position Order CallsJeremiyah Love
Jeremiyah Love to be 1st running back off the board
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 25.97100this call−25.97a naive guess=74.03better than naive×1difficulty=+74.03skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- naming one of the 13 at random averages 25.97
- skill:
- 74.03
- player:
- Jeremiyah Love
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 25.97
- position:
- running back
- class size:
- 13
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 1
- predicted order:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Ty Simpson to be picked “a first round selection” (picks 1–32)
What happenedWent 13100Hit · naive 50100this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=50better than naive×1difficulty=+50skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Ty Simpson
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 13
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- a first round selection (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
6Mock Draft PicksMakai LemonNew Orleans Saints
Makai Lemon to be picked at number 8
What happenedWent 20mocked at 859.46Close · naive 50100this mock’s order−50a shuffled mock=50better than naive×1difficulty=+50skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Makai Lemon
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 59.46
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 20
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 59.46
- predicted pick:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
7Position Order CallsCarnell Tate
Carnell Tate to be 1st wide receiver off the board
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 9.48100this call−9.48a naive guess=90.52better than naive×1difficulty=+90.52skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- naming one of the 36 at random averages 9.48
- skill:
- 90.52
- player:
- Carnell Tate
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- credit halves every two places
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 9.48
- position:
- wide receiver
- class size:
- 36
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual order:
- 1
- predicted order:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 7 settled calls, each counted once
79.9naive 39.3
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
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Ross Jackson lays out their early defensive 53-man roster projection for the 2026 Saints, naming five edge rushers, four interior defensive linemen, five cornerbacks, five linebackers and five safeties, plus their kicker, punter and long snapper, and sends Mike Heldman, Chris Rumph and Jackson Sirmon to the practice squad.Ross Jackson · Roster Spot Calls · Jordyn Tyson · Hit 100
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Chachere picks the Saints to beat the Browns 24-10, arguing Cleveland's switch to Shedeur Sanders with Deshaun Watson out tilts the game toward New Orleans.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Chris Simms · Mock Draft Picks · Malachi Corley · Miss 11
Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore.Philip Hughes · Mock Draft Picks · Kyle Kennard · Miss 34
Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection.Blaine Grisak · Mock Draft Picks · Brian Thomas Jr. · Hit 84
Grisak argues the Rams should not trade a second-round pick for Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr., calling it too great a risk and too high a cost. In an embedded tweet of their own from the 2024 pre-draft period, they suggested the Rams could select Thomas at pick No. 19.Charlie Campbell · Mock Draft Picks · Xavier Williams · Miss 0
Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare.