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Noah ComptonAug 16, 2026

After watching the Colts' eleventh training camp practice, Compton says rookie linebacker CJ Allen is still expected to start the regular-season opener, identifies Alec Pierce as the team's top receiver and Cam Taylor-Britt as the first cornerback behind the starting trio, and declares the kicking job Blake Grupe's to lose.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

0 of 1calls landed1 miss · 3 waiting
0Average accuracyout of 100, across 1 call
100A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
1Games calledeveryone’s picks below
3Waitingnot graded yet

What Noah Compton said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
At this point, it's Grupe's job to lose.
Noah Compton, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
Biggest Takeaways From Day 12 of Colts Training Camp: Defense Shuts Down Passing Attack
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidAug 16
  2. PlayedSep 13
  3. GradedSep 17
  1. 1C.J. Allen to be 1st on the depth chart“The rookie linebacker is still expected to start in Week 1's regular-season opener against the Baltimore Ravens”
  2. 2Cam Taylor-Britt to be 4th on the depth chart“Veteran newcomer Cam Taylor-Britt has proven to be the next man up outside of the Colts' starting trio of Sauce Gardner, Charvarius Ward Sr., and Justin Walley”
  3. 3Blake Grupe to be 1st on the depth chart“Blake Grupe continues to separate in practice... At this point, it's Grupe's job to lose.”
  4. 4Alec Pierce to be 1st on the depth chart“Alec Pierce : Indy's WR1 put on cleats and was a minimal participant for the first time this offseason”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
C.J. Allen to be 1st on the depth chart1Depth Chart Calls—0100−200
Cam Taylor-Britt to be 4th on the depth chart2Depth Chart Calls————
Blake Grupe to be 1st on the depth chart3Depth Chart Calls————
Alec Pierce to be 1st on the depth chart4Depth Chart Calls————
4 calls · 1 miss · 3 waiting0100

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

4 checkable claims — 4 depth chart calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

1 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Alec Pierce · 2026 season

10 calls from 10 pundits between 1 and 4. Noah Compton said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet

Noah Compton — 1the room — 10 calls from 10 punditsmedian 1

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

  1. 1Depth Chart CallsC.J. AllenIndianapolis Colts

    C.J. Allen to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive2difficulty−200skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    IND
    week:
    1
    skill:
    −200
    player:
    C.J. Allen
    season:
    2026
    claimed:
    he starts
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    reported:
    he did not play that week
    settled by:
    weekly snap counts (he took no snap in the game)
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Depth Chart CallsCam Taylor-BrittIndianapolis Colts

    Cam Taylor-Britt to be 4th on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Depth Chart CallsBlake GrupeIndianapolis Colts

    Blake Grupe to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. 4Depth Chart CallsAlec PierceIndianapolis Colts

    Alec Pierce to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

The game in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Others on the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.