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Pete Prisco#51 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 16, 2026

Prisco forecast a low-scoring Giants win over the Saints (19-16), a Rams blowout of the Cardinals (35-20), a Bills win at Las Vegas (35-21) and the Chiefs edging the Chargers (28-21).

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

0 of 4calls landed3 close calls · 1 miss · all settled
53Average accuracyout of 100, across 4 calls
46.1A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
4Games calledeveryone’s picks below
#51Pete Prisco’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Pete Prisco said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I think this will be about defenses. Giants in a close one.
Pete Prisco, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
CBS Sports
The piece
NFL Week 6 odds, predictions, expert picks: Cowboys roll into Lambeau Field to face Packers
The original
Read the original
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  1. SaidOct 16
  2. PlayedOct 18
  3. GradedOct 18–19
  1. 1Kansas City Chiefs 28 — Chargers 21“Pete Prisco on why he has the Chiefs edging out a 28-21 win over the Chargers.”
  2. 2Los Angeles Rams 35 — Arizona 20“Pete Prisco on why he has the Rams pulling off the 35-20 win over Arizona.”
  3. 3Buffalo Bills 35 — Raiders 21“Pete Prisco on why he Bills will win, 35-21.”
  4. 4New York Giants 19 — Saints 16“Pete Prisco on why he has the Giants coming away with the 19-16 win.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Kansas City Chiefs 28 — Chargers 211Score PredictionsChiefs 22–678.5762.27+28.04
Los Angeles Rams 35 — Arizona 202Score PredictionsCardinals 18–1619.0545.6−45.67
Buffalo Bills 35 — Raiders 213Score PredictionsBills 33–3073.8143.22+52.61
New York Giants 19 — Saints 164Score PredictionsSaints 34–2740.4833.33+12.29
4 calls · 3 close calls · 1 miss · all settled5346.1

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

4 checkable claims — 4 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 53 out of 100, against 46.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Score PredictionsKansas City Chiefs

    Kansas City Chiefs 28 — Chargers 21

    What happenedChiefs 22–6called Chiefs by 7 · won by 16
    78.57Close · naive 62.27
    78.57this call62.27a naive guess16.3better than naive1.72difficulty+28.04skill

    Closing line (Oct 18): Chiefs by 7.5, total 41.5 · this 28–21 calls a closer game (Chiefs by 7) and more points (49).

    How this was scored
    score:
    6-22
    skill:
    28.04
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    78.57
    baseline:
    62.27
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    16
    weeks left when called:
    13
    naive home margin:
    0.15
    predicted margin:
    7
    Think this is wrong?

  2. 2Score PredictionsLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams 35 — Arizona 20

    What happenedCardinals 18–16called Rams by 15 · lost by 2
    19.05Miss · naive 45.6
    19.05this call45.6a naive guess−26.55worse than naive1.72difficulty−45.67skill

    Closing line (Oct 18): Rams by 12.5, total 51.5 · this 35–20 calls a bigger Rams win (by 15) and more points (55).

    How this was scored
    score:
    18-16
    skill:
    −45.67
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    19.05
    baseline:
    45.6
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    13
    naive home margin:
    0.15
    predicted margin:
    15
    Think this is wrong?

  3. 3Score PredictionsBuffalo Bills

    Buffalo Bills 35 — Raiders 21

    What happenedBills 33–30called Bills by 14 · won by 3
    73.81Close · naive 43.22
    73.81this call43.22a naive guess30.59better than naive1.72difficulty+52.61skill

    Closing line (Oct 18): Bills by 5.5, total 53.5 · this 35–21 calls a bigger Bills win (by 14) and more points (56).

    How this was scored
    score:
    33-30
    skill:
    52.61
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    73.81
    baseline:
    43.22
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    13
    naive home margin:
    0.15
    predicted margin:
    14
    Think this is wrong?

  4. 4Score PredictionsNew York Giants

    New York Giants 19 — Saints 16

    What happenedSaints 34–27called Giants by 3 · lost by 7
    40.48Close · naive 33.33
    40.48this call33.33a naive guess7.15better than naive1.72difficulty+12.29skill

    Closing line (Oct 18): Saints by 1.5, total 46.5 · this 19–16 calls a Giants win (by 3) and fewer points (35).

    How this was scored
    score:
    34-27
    skill:
    12.29
    they picked:
    NYG
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    40.48
    baseline:
    33.33
    difficulty:
    1.72
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    13
    naive home margin:
    0
    predicted margin:
    3
    Think this is wrong?
  5. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once

    53naive 46.1

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Who this take is about

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