Skip to main content
MissedTakes
Menu

Mark McKinnon· Nov 5, 2024

Appearing on CNN, the former Republican strategist said he was making a prediction: Harris would win big, driven by women voters and older voters.

“Harris is gonna blow the doors off, and it's gonna be because of women and the Granny Gap.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Young Turks · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 0 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Race WinnersNov 5, 2024

    “So I'll just say it now. I know you're not on the prediction, but I'm getting in it. Harris is gonna blow the doors off, and it's gonna be because of women and the Granny Gap.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    right:
    no
    race:
    2024-president
    election year:
    2024
    skill:
    0
    topic:
    elections
    held going in by:
    Democratic
    result from:
    fec-2024-president
    who won:
    Donald Trump
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    race name:
    2024 U.S. presidential election
    decided in the:
    electoral-college
    they said:
    Kamala Harris
    days before the vote when called:
    0
    difficulty:
    1
    the winner's party:
    Republican
    the naive guess:
    the party holding the seat keeps it
    Election Day:
    2024-11-05
    the result is:
    certified
    the party they named:
    Democratic

    Think this is wrong?

More race winners

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.