Rich Eisen· Oct 27, 2025
Eisen agreed the Ravens will win the AFC North, said Jonathan Taylor is running away with Offensive Player of the Year, projected the Patriots as a 10-11 win team, endorsed the same seven-team NFC playoff field with Tampa and Indianapolis winning their divisions, and picked the Vikings (with Atlanta as another possibility) as the team most likely to crash the NFC field.
“But right now, it sure looks like the Eagles gonna be the only NFC East team, and you're gonna get three out of the West, Seattle, Rams, and the Niners.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →
14 checkable claims — 7 playoff picks, 3 division winners, 2 surprise team calls, 1 award pick and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 13 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
12 of 14 have settled so far, averaging 43.3 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
14 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Division WinnersIndianapolis ColtsOct 27, 2025
Indianapolis Colts to win the division
“And then the AFC South, I mean, Jacksonville... I don't think they're they're gonna catch Indianapolis.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- IND
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- HOU
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- won the division:
- no
- Division WinnersTampa Bay BuccaneersOct 27, 2025
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division
“It doesn't look great, and Carolina's way too up and down to catch Tampa. I think Tampa's got that division.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- TB
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- TB
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- won the division:
- no
- Division WinnersBaltimore RavensOct 27, 2025
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
“This is not an overreaction... I think the Ravens are gonna go on a nice run... their schedule lines up so perfectly over the next six weeks for them to be in first place.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BAL
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- won the division:
- no
- Award PicksJonathan TaylorIndianapolis ColtsOct 27, 2025
Jonathan Taylor to win Offensive Player of the Year
“Normally, that's a an offensive player of the year award for a running back because that's the MVP award for a running back... He's running away with that.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- offensive_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Saquon Barkley, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Jonathan Taylor
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- Season Win TotalsNew England PatriotsOct 27, 2025
New England Patriots to finish with 10 wins
“Even if they split their remaining games, which would be kind of surprising, you're you're you're talking about a ten, eleven win team right now.”
Miss · 20Scored 20a naive guess scored 0+32.2 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- NE
- naive:
- 6.25
- skill:
- 32.2
- what happened:
- 14
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 20
- baseline:
- 0
- predicted:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- Playoff PicksPhiladelphia EaglesOct 27, 2025
Philadelphia Eagles to make the playoffs
“it sure looks like the Eagles gonna be the only NFC East team... and that's your playoff field right there”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- PHI
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- Playoff PicksSeattle SeahawksOct 27, 2025
Seattle Seahawks to make the playoffs
“you're gonna get three out of the West, Seattle, Rams, and the Niners”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+161 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- SEA
- skill:
- 161
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- no
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- Playoff PicksLos Angeles RamsOct 27, 2025
Los Angeles Rams to make the playoffs
“you're gonna get three out of the West, Seattle, Rams, and the Niners”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- LAR
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- Playoff PicksSan Francisco 49ersOct 27, 2025
San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs
“you're gonna get three out of the West, Seattle, Rams, and the Niners”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+161 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- SF
- skill:
- 161
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- no
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- Playoff PicksGreen Bay PackersOct 27, 2025
Green Bay Packers to make the playoffs
“two out of the North, and that's your playoff field right there... the seven that's are currently in for the NFC playoffs are the ones that you're gonna get”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- GB
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- Playoff PicksDetroit LionsOct 27, 2025
Detroit Lions to make the playoffs
“two out of the North, and that's your playoff field right there... the seven that's are currently in for the NFC playoffs are the ones that you're gonna get”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- DET
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- Playoff PicksTampa Bay BuccaneersOct 27, 2025
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs
“You're gonna get one out of the South and two out of the North, and that's your playoff field right there.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- TB
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 11
- Surprise Team CallsMinnesota VikingsOct 27, 2025
Minnesota Vikings to beat expectations
“I'll give you one to come out of the mist. I'll give you the Vikings.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Surprise Team CallsAtlanta FalconsOct 27, 2025
Atlanta Falcons to beat expectations
“I mean, Atlanta Atlanta could maybe do it... I I I guess those are the two that I choose.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Baltimore RavensHit · 98Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersMiss · 10Simms picked the Packers to beat the Falcons in the Thursday night game by a low score, expecting a defensive struggle.
More playoff picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Craig StoutPlayoff Picks · Kansas City ChiefsMiss · 0Craig believes better execution from a Patrick Mahomes-led Chiefs team will be enough to return them to the playoffs in the coming season, and he expects Tyler Algeier to land with Denver as a complement to RJ Harvey.
- Ross JacksonPlayoff Picks · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 0Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026.
- Chris BrockmanPlayoff Picks · Pittsburgh SteelersHit · 100Brockman argued the road to the Super Bowl in the AFC goes through Foxborough, meaning the Patriots will finish as the No. 1 seed, and called his shot that the Chargers beat Denver in Week 18. He also declared the Bears a team of destiny who will win the NFC, said the Steelers will end their playoff win drought, and that Trevor Lawrence is playing like a top-five quarterback.
- Chris BrockmanPlayoff Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Brockman argued the Texans will reach the AFC Championship Game, declared the Chiefs dynasty over, said the road to the Super Bowl in the NFC goes through Lambeau Field, that Josh Allen is still the most dangerous QB and the Bills will win a playoff game (with the AFC East runner-up as the 5 seed winning in Pittsburgh or Baltimore), that Carolina will win the NFC South, that Baltimore finishes under .500 with Lamar no longer a top-five QB, that the Colts should trade for Mac Jones, and that Marcus Freeman will be in the NFL next year.
- Chris BrockmanPlayoff Picks · Denver BroncosHit · 100Brockman argued the Broncos are headed to the AFC Championship Game, that the Cowboys will win the NFC East, that Green Bay is the NFC's best team, and that the Bears will finish no worse than the No. 2 seed in the NFC.
- Chris BrockmanPlayoff Picks · Houston TexansHit · 100Brockman predicted the AFC South will send at least two teams to the playoffs and called the Texans real contenders.