Rich Eisen#38 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 27, 2025

Eisen agreed the Ravens will win the AFC North, said Jonathan Taylor is running away with Offensive Player of the Year, projected the Patriots as a 10-11 win team, endorsed the same seven-team NFC playoff field with Tampa and Indianapolis winning their divisions, and picked the Vikings (with Atlanta as another possibility) as the team most likely to crash the NFC field.

Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original

5 of 12calls landed5 hits · 7 misses · 2 waiting

43.3Average accuracyout of 100, across 12 calls

25A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

12 of 14Settled2 still waiting

#38Rich Eisen’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Rich Eisen said

But right now, it sure looks like the Eagles gonna be the only NFC East team, and you're gonna get three out of the West, Seattle, Rams, and the Niners.

Rich Eisen, the lead quote

Where it was said: Overreaction Monday (podcast)
The episode: NFL Week 8: Ravens' Save Season, JT is MVP, Caleb Questions & More
The original: Hear the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidOct 27, 2025
GradedAug 13–17, 2026

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting

Group	Hits	Misses	Waiting
Division Winners	0	3	0
Award Picks	0	1	0
Season Win Totals	0	1	0
Playoff Picks	5	2	0
Surprise Team Calls	0	0	2
All	5	7	2

How each call scored

14 checkable claims — 7 playoff picks, 3 division winners, 2 surprise team calls, 1 award pick and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 13 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

12 of 14 have settled so far, averaging 43.3 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Division Winners3 missesShow ▸

Indianapolis Colts to win the division
“And then the AFC South, I mean, Jacksonville... I don't think they're they're gonna catch Indianapolis.”
Indianapolis Colts
0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1.61 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
IND
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
HOU
difficulty:
1.61
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
11
won the division:
no
Think this is wrong?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division
“It doesn't look great, and Carolina's way too up and down to catch Tampa. I think Tampa's got that division.”
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1.61 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
TB
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
TB
difficulty:
1.61
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
11
won the division:
no
Think this is wrong?
Baltimore Ravens to win the division
“This is not an overreaction... I think the Ravens are gonna go on a nice run... their schedule lines up so perfectly over the next six weeks for them to be in first place.”
Baltimore Ravens
0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1.61 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
they picked:
BAL
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive pick:
BAL
difficulty:
1.61
the naive guess:
last season's winner of the same division
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
11
won the division:
no
Think this is wrong?

Award Picks1 missShow ▸

Jonathan Taylor to win Offensive Player of the Year
“Normally, that's a an offensive player of the year award for a running back because that's the MVP award for a running back... He's running away with that.”
Jonathan Taylor Indianapolis Colts
Jaxon Smith-Njigba woncalled Jonathan Taylor
0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1.61 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
award:
offensive_player_of_the_year
naive:
the naive pick was Saquon Barkley, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Jonathan Taylor
season:
2025
who won:
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
correct:
no
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.61
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
11
Think this is wrong?

Season Win Totals1 missShow ▸

New England Patriots to finish with 10 wins
“Even if they split their remaining games, which would be kind of surprising, you're you're you're talking about a ten, eleven win team right now.”
New England Patriots
14called 10
20Miss
20 − 0 naive = 20 × 1.61 difficulty = +32.2 skill
How this was scored
team:
NE
naive:
6.25
skill:
32.2
what happened:
14
season:
2025
zero credit this far off:
5
accuracy:
20
baseline:
0
they said:
10
difficulty:
1.61
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
11
Think this is wrong?

Playoff Picks5 hits · 2 missesShow ▸

Philadelphia Eagles to make the playoffs
“it sure looks like the Eagles gonna be the only NFC East team... and that's your playoff field right there”
Philadelphia Eagles
Made the playoffs
100Hit
100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1.61 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
team:
PHI
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
1.61
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
11
Think this is wrong?
Seattle Seahawks to make the playoffs
“you're gonna get three out of the West, Seattle, Rams, and the Niners”
Seattle Seahawks
Made the playoffs
100Hit
100 − 0 naive = 100 × 1.61 difficulty = +161 skill
How this was scored
team:
SEA
skill:
161
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
1.61
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
11
Think this is wrong?
Los Angeles Rams to make the playoffs
“you're gonna get three out of the West, Seattle, Rams, and the Niners”
Los Angeles Rams
Made the playoffs
100Hit
100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1.61 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
team:
LAR
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
1.61
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
11
Think this is wrong?
San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs
“you're gonna get three out of the West, Seattle, Rams, and the Niners”
San Francisco 49ers
Made the playoffs
100Hit
100 − 0 naive = 100 × 1.61 difficulty = +161 skill
How this was scored
team:
SF
skill:
161
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
no
difficulty:
1.61
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
11
Think this is wrong?
Green Bay Packers to make the playoffs
“two out of the North, and that's your playoff field right there... the seven that's are currently in for the NFC playoffs are the ones that you're gonna get”
Green Bay Packers
Made the playoffs
100Hit
100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1.61 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
team:
GB
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
1.61
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
yes
weeks left when called:
11
Think this is wrong?
Detroit Lions to make the playoffs
“two out of the North, and that's your playoff field right there... the seven that's are currently in for the NFC playoffs are the ones that you're gonna get”
Detroit Lions
Missed the playoffs
0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1.61 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
team:
DET
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
1.61
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
11
Think this is wrong?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs
“You're gonna get one out of the South and two out of the North, and that's your playoff field right there.”
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Missed the playoffs
0Miss
0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1.61 difficulty = 0 skill
How this was scored
team:
TB
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
the naive guess said:
yes
difficulty:
1.61
weeks in the season:
18
made the playoffs:
no
weeks left when called:
11
Think this is wrong?

Surprise Team Calls2 waitingShow ▸

Minnesota Vikings to beat expectations
“I'll give you one to come out of the mist. I'll give you the Vikings.”
Minnesota Vikings
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Atlanta Falcons to beat expectations
“I mean, Atlanta Atlanta could maybe do it... I I I guess those are the two that I choose.”
Atlanta Falcons
—Waiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?

Who this take is about

Indianapolis Colts, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Baltimore Ravens, Jonathan Taylor, New England Patriots, Philadelphia Eagles, Seattle Seahawks, Los Angeles Rams, San Francisco 49ers, Green Bay Packers, Detroit Lions, Minnesota Vikings, Atlanta Falcons

Where do you stand on this one?Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

Parker Hurley · Roster Spot Calls · Khalid Kareem · Miss 0
Hurley predicts the 49ers will release Khalil Kareem when Nate Hobbs is activated and cut Brandin Cooks when C.J. West returns, while arguing Sebastian Valdez won't be the one let go and no cornerback will be cut.
Jason Harmon · Roster Spot Calls · Max Brosmer · Miss 0
Harmon expects the Vikings' quarterback room to stay intact while Kyler Murray is hurt, and predicts Max Brosmer will be released and re-signed to the practice squad since Minnesota won't carry four QBs.
Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Ahead of the trade deadline, they float three Raiders moves: shipping Kirk Cousins to Minnesota if the Vikings offer a second-round pick, selling Maxx Crosby to Dallas for a first-rounder plus, and acquiring Jaguars receiver Brian Thomas Jr. for a second- or third-round pick.
Logan Lazarczyk · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Lazarczyk expects the Raiders to be sellers before the trade deadline, suggesting Kirk Cousins could be dealt back to the Vikings and that benched interior lineman Jackson Powers-Johnson is a prime candidate to be traded somewhere.
Charean Williams · Roster Spot Calls · Odell Beckham Jr. · Miss 0
Williams writes that after releasing Odell Beckham Jr. to open a roster spot for Kirk Cousins, the Vikings will bring them back on the practice squad.
Alex Curry · Trade and Signing Calls · Kirk Cousins · Hit 100
Curry expects Fernando Mendoza to be taken No. 1 overall by the Raiders and to be thrown into the starting lineup immediately, and they say Kirk Cousins will be released by Atlanta within weeks.

More playoff picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.