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Derek Brown#12 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 4, 2026

Brown names four running backs to target in 2026 fantasy drafts: David Montgomery as a volume-driven RB2 with RB1 upside in Houston, Tony Pollard as a value returning RB2 production despite an RB3 draft cost, rookie Jadarian Price as an upside RB2 in Seattle, and Kenny Gainwell as a potential RB2 value in Tampa Bay.

Published in writing · FantasyProsRead the original

Waiting3 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 3Settled3 still waiting
#12Derek Brown’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Derek Brown said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
Montgomery is the superior back, even at this stage of his career, and he'll be a strong volume-driven RB2 that could flirt with RB1 production.
Derek Brown, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
FantasyPros
The piece
4 Must-Have Running Backs (2026 Fantasy Football)
The original
Read the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 4, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. 1Tony Pollard to outplay his draft cost (lingering in the RB3 range in plenty of drafts)“Pollard will be lingering in the RB3 range in plenty of drafts, but I think he returns strong RB2 value and production this season.”
  2. 2David Montgomery to be 1st on the depth chart“Many will worry that Montgomery will split Houston's backfield workload with Woody Marks this season, but I don't see that happening. Montgomery should absorb a workload close to what Joe Mixon saw in 2024.”
  3. 3Tony Pollard to be 1st on the depth chart“Tony Pollard remains the clear leadback for the Titans entering the 2026 season... Brian Daboll, his new offensive coordinator, has historically ridden one running back in his offenses, and Pollard looks to be that guy this season.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Tony Pollard to outplay his draft cost (lingering in the RB3 range in plenty of drafts)1Sleeper Calls————
David Montgomery to be 1st on the depth chart2Depth Chart Calls————
Tony Pollard to be 1st on the depth chart3Depth Chart Calls————
3 calls · 3 waiting——

How each call scored

3 checkable claims — 2 depth chart calls and 1 sleeper call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

David Montgomery · 2026 season

19 calls from 16 pundits between 1 and 1. Derek Brown said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet

Derek Brown — 1the room — 19 calls from 16 punditsmedian 1

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

  1. 1Sleeper CallsTony PollardTennessee Titans

    Tony Pollard to outplay his draft cost (lingering in the RB3 range in plenty of drafts)

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Depth Chart CallsDavid MontgomeryHouston Texans

    David Montgomery to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Depth Chart CallsTony PollardTennessee Titans

    Tony Pollard to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More depth chart calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.