Jared Dubin· Sep 17, 2026

Dubin gives winners and scores for the same seven games, favoring the Bills, Patriots, Ravens, Texans, Broncos, Chiefs and Rams, though he expects several of them to stay close.

“I lean toward the Bills for the win in the debut of their new stadium, but I like the Lions to keep it close enough that the Bills don't cover the spread.”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

7 checkable claims — 7 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 7 have settled, averaging 70.7 out of 100, against 58.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

7 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Score Predictions Los Angeles RamsSep 17, 2026
Los Angeles Rams 27 — Giants 17
“Prediction: Rams 27, Giants 17”
Close · 71Scored 71.43a naive guess scored 50+41.57 skill
How this was scored
score:
6-28
skill:
41.57
they picked:
LAR
season:
2026
accuracy:
71.43
baseline:
50
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
22
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
0.19
predicted margin:
10
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Baltimore RavensSep 17, 2026
Baltimore Ravens 27 — Saints 20
“Prediction: Ravens 27, Saints 20”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 32.1+34.72 skill
How this was scored
score:
24-17
skill:
34.72
they picked:
BAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
50
baseline:
32.1
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
-0.52
predicted margin:
7
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Kansas City ChiefsSep 17, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs 21 — Colts 17
“Prediction: Chiefs 21, Colts 17”
Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 91.63+11.62 skill
How this was scored
score:
30-33
skill:
11.62
they picked:
KC
season:
2026
accuracy:
97.62
baseline:
91.63
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
-0.52
predicted margin:
4
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Denver BroncosSep 17, 2026
Denver Broncos 24 — Jaguars 21
“Prediction: Broncos 24, Jaguars 21”
Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 82.1+16.24 skill
How this was scored
score:
13-20
skill:
16.24
they picked:
DEN
season:
2026
accuracy:
90.48
baseline:
82.1
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
7
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
-0.52
predicted margin:
3
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions New England PatriotsSep 17, 2026
New England Patriots 21 — Steelers 13
“Prediction: Patriots 21, Steelers 13”
Close · 79Scored 78.57a naive guess scored 58.29+39.34 skill
How this was scored
score:
3-20
skill:
39.34
they picked:
NE
season:
2026
accuracy:
78.57
baseline:
58.29
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
17
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
-0.52
predicted margin:
8
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Houston TexansSep 17, 2026
Houston Texans 26 — Bengals 24
“Prediction: Texans 26, Bengals 24”
Miss · 21Scored 21.43a naive guess scored 15.44+11.62 skill
How this was scored
score:
20-6
skill:
11.62
they picked:
HOU
season:
2026
accuracy:
21.43
baseline:
15.44
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
14
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
-0.52
predicted margin:
2
Think this is wrong?
Score Predictions Buffalo BillsSep 17, 2026
Buffalo Bills 35 — Lions 31
“Prediction: Bills 35, Lions 31”
Hit · 86Scored 85.71a naive guess scored 79.41+12.23 skill
How this was scored
score:
31-41
skill:
12.23
they picked:
BUF
season:
2026
accuracy:
85.71
baseline:
79.41
difficulty:
1.94
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
10
weeks left when called:
17
naive home margin:
1.35
predicted margin:
4
Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100
Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100
Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles RamsMiss · 0
Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Houston TexansMiss · 0
Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100
Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
Jake ArthurScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 98
Arthur expects a close Chiefs win on Sunday Night Football at Arrowhead, predicting a final score of 27-23 for Kansas City.

More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Chris SimmsScore Predictions · New Orleans SaintsClose · 48
Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Green Bay PackersMiss · 10
Simms picked the Packers to beat the Falcons in the Thursday night game by a low score, expecting a defensive struggle.
Nate TiceScore Predictions · Cincinnati BengalsClose · 74
Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro.
Matt HarmonScore Predictions · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100
Harmon picked the Bengals to beat the Texans in Week 2, expecting Nico Collins to miss the game with a hamstring injury, and also predicted the Titans would be shut out by the Eagles. He took the Rams over the Giants, the Bears over the Vikings, and the Jaguars at Denver.
Marcus RayScore Predictions · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 19
Marcus predicted a 30-13 Buccaneers win over Cleveland with three touchdowns and three field goals, and picked the Raiders to beat a Jim Harbaugh team to start 2-0.
Ryan LaVoyScore Predictions · Tampa Bay BuccaneersMiss · 17
LaVoy predicted a 28-10 Buccaneers win over the Browns, said even the Falcons would beat Cleveland, and named Detroit, Baltimore and the Rams as teams he expects in the playoffs.

Who this take is about

The games in this take

7 checkable claims in this take

What others said about the same people

More score predictions

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