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Gregg Rosenthal#39 of 87 NFL pundits · Nov 7, 2025

Rosenthal picks the Buccaneers to beat the Patriots, the Steelers to win outright at the Chargers, the Rams to blow out the 49ers, and jokes/claims the Ravens beat the Vikings by 25.

Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original

2 of 3calls landed2 hits · 1 miss · all settled
66.7Average accuracyout of 100, across 3 calls
33.3A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
3 of 3Settlednone still waiting
#39Gregg Rosenthal’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Gregg Rosenthal said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
I think the Bucks are a complete team. I don't think the Patriots offensive line is as good.
Gregg Rosenthal, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was said
Around the NFL (podcast)
The episode
Week 9 NFL Picks with Cynthia Frelund
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidNov 7, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5–17, 2026
  1. 1Los Angeles Rams to beat forty nine ers“I think the Rams are gonna blow them out this week... So I'm going Rams minus four and a half”
  2. 2Baltimore Ravens to beat Vikings“And when I heard all that and he's like growling in the locker room and he's an alter ego, I'm like Raven's by twenty five.”
  3. 3Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Chargers“I love this pick. I'm with you. I think the Steelers went straight up. Me and you are on the same side... But I have them winning straight up.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Los Angeles Rams to beat forty nine ers1Game Outcome Picks—1000+150
Baltimore Ravens to beat Vikings2Game Outcome Picks—1000+150
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Chargers3Game Outcome Picks—0100−150
3 calls · 2 hits · 1 miss · all settled66.733.3

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

3 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 3 have settled, averaging 66.7 out of 100, against 33.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Game Outcome PicksLos Angeles Rams

    Los Angeles Rams to beat forty nine ers

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.5difficulty+150skill

    Closing line (Nov 9): Rams by 5.5 · favorite pick, Rams about 2 in 3 (69%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.

    How this was scored
    won:
    LAR
    score:
    42-26
    skill:
    150
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    SF
    difficulty:
    1.5
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    9
    Think this is wrong?
  2. 2Game Outcome PicksBaltimore Ravens

    Baltimore Ravens to beat Vikings

    VerdictHit
    100Hit · naive 0
    100this call0a naive guess100better than naive1.5difficulty+150skill

    Closing line (Nov 9): Ravens by 4.5 · favorite pick, Ravens about 2 in 3 (67%).

    How this was scored
    won:
    BAL
    score:
    27-19
    skill:
    150
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    MIN
    difficulty:
    1.5
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    9
    Think this is wrong?
  3. 3Game Outcome PicksPittsburgh Steelers

    Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Chargers

    VerdictMiss
    0Miss · naive 100
    0this call100a naive guess−100worse than naive1.5difficulty−150skill

    Closing line (Nov 9): Chargers by 3 · underdog pick, Steelers 41%.

    How this was scored
    won:
    LAC
    score:
    10-25
    skill:
    −150
    they picked:
    PIT
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    LAC
    difficulty:
    1.5
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    9
    Think this is wrong?
  4. All

    The take as a whole

    the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once

    66.7naive 33.3

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