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Richie BradshawOct 4, 2026

Bradshaw picks the Cardinals to beat the Giants by one possession in a low-scoring game, forecasting a 20-14 final with neither team reaching three touchdowns.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

36Miss · out of 100
Giants 36–24What happenedcalled Cardinals by 6 · lost by 12
73.81A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
35.71This callout of 100
−69.71Skillafter difficulty

What Richie Bradshaw said

Give me Arizona by one possession in an ugly, yet somehow entertaining battle of mid.
Our reading: Arizona Cardinals 20 — New York Giants 14
Where it was published
Sports Illustrated
The piece
3 Cardinals vs Giants Bold Predictions: All Eyes on Marvin Harrison Jr.
The original
Read the original
  1. SaidOct 4
  2. PlayedOct 4
  3. GradedOct 5

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 35.7 out of 100, against 73.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  1. Score PredictionsArizona Cardinals

    Arizona Cardinals 20 — New York Giants 14

    What happenedGiants 36–24called Cardinals by 6 · lost by 12
    35.71Miss · naive 73.81
    35.71this call73.81a naive guess−38.1worse than naive1.83difficulty−69.71skill

    Closing line (Oct 4): Cardinals by 2.5, total 44.5 · this 20–14 calls a bigger Cardinals win (by 6) and fewer points (34).

    How this was scored
    score:
    24-36
    skill:
    −69.71
    they picked:
    ARI
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    35.71
    baseline:
    73.81
    difficulty:
    1.83
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    12
    weeks left when called:
    15
    naive home margin:
    1
    predicted margin:
    6
    Think this is wrong?

The game in this take

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