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Charles McDonaldJun 21, 2025

McDonald's Yahoo Sports ranking of the top 10 NFL quarterbacks entering the 2025 season, as recounted on the show, had Mahomes first and left off Jalen Hurts, Jayden Daniels and Brock Purdy.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

61Close · out of 100
Top Player ListsThe callsettled
50A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
61.21This callout of 100
+22.42Skillafter difficulty

What Charles McDonald said

Charles McDonald's top ten quarterbacks entering the twenty twenty five season in twenty to Yahoo's Sport.
Charles McDonald’s words, quoted for attribution
The episode
Covino & Rich - Picking Apart a Top 10 QB List
The original
Hear the original

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

  1. SaidJun 21, 2025
  2. GradedAug 5, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 61.2 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Top Player Lists

    “So in at number one, you really can't debate it. Patrick Mahomes... Number two, Lamar Jackson... he's right there at number three... Borrow number four... Well Herbert is at number five?... Number six Matt Stafford... Number seven Dak Prescott... Gino Smith. Number eight... Love number nine Ireen Bay Packers... CJ. Stroud, great young quarterback in at number ten.”

    VerdictClose
    61.21Close · naive 50
    61.21this call50a naive guess11.21better than naive2difficulty+22.42skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    a coin-flip ordering scores 50
    skill:
    22.42
    placed:
    10
    season:
    2025
    players:
    10
    accuracy:
    61.21
    baseline:
    50
    by position:
    QB 10: 61.21
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    could not place:
    0
    weeks left when called:
    18
    Think this is wrong?

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