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Charlie CampbellSep 26, 2026

After a five-sack game against Tennessee, Campbell projected Texas defender Simmons as a possible top-10 pick and a top-20 pick at worst, and said Tennessee linebacker Arion Carter could be a second-day selection in the 2027 NFL Draft.

Published in writing · Walter FootballRead the original

Waiting4 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 4Settled4 still waiting
4Waitingnot graded yet

What Charlie Campbell said

our reading, beside the words we read it from
This tape could help Simmons to be a pick in the top-10 next April and he looks like a top-20 pick at worst.
Charlie Campbell, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below
Where it was published
Walter Football
The piece
2027 NFL Draft: College Game Recaps – Week 4
The original
Read the original
  1. 1Colin Simmons to be picked “a top-20 pick at worst” (picks 1–20)“he looks like a top-20 pick at worst”
  2. 2Arion Carter to be picked “a second-day pick”“Carter could end up being a second-day pick in the 2027 NFL Draft.”
  3. 3Arion Carter to be 1st on the depth chart“Carter looks like a starting inside linebacker candidate for the NFL.”
  4. 4Colin Simmons to be picked “a pick in the top-10” (picks 1–10)“This tape could help Simmons to be a pick in the top-10 next April and he looks like a top-20 pick at worst.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting
VerdictCallKindWhat happenedScoreNaiveSkill
Colin Simmons to be picked “a top-20 pick at worst” (picks 1–20)1Mock Draft Picks————
Arion Carter to be picked “a second-day pick”2Mock Draft Picks————
Arion Carter to be 1st on the depth chart3Depth Chart Calls————
Colin Simmons to be picked “a pick in the top-10” (picks 1–10)4Mock Draft Picks————
4 calls · 4 waiting——

How each call scored

4 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. 1Mock Draft PicksColin Simmons

    Colin Simmons to be picked “a top-20 pick at worst” (picks 1–20)

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. 2Mock Draft PicksArion Carter

    Arion Carter to be picked “a second-day pick”

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. 3Depth Chart CallsArion Carter

    Arion Carter to be 1st on the depth chart

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. 4Mock Draft PicksColin Simmons

    Colin Simmons to be picked “a pick in the top-10” (picks 1–10)

    VerdictWaiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More mock draft picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.