Chad Jensen· Oct 27, 2026
Jensen expects Bo Nix and the 5-2 Broncos to beat the Chiefs at home this week, avenging the Week 1 loss at Arrowhead and taking over the AFC West lead.
“Nix has never lost to the Chiefs at Mile High, and given the stakes and his newfound momentum, don't be surprised if he gets the last word on Mahomes and company after Week 1's ugly loss at Arrowhead Stadium.”
published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →
One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.
The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
The game in this take
- Chiefs at Broncos 17 calls
1 checkable claim in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
- Game Outcome PicksDenver BroncosOct 27, 2026
Denver Broncos to beat Chiefs
“The Broncos now sit at 5-2 and they have the chance to overtake the Chiefs in the AFC West this week if they can get the win... don't be surprised if he gets the last word on Mahomes and company after Week 1's ugly loss at Arrowhead Stadium.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 24-28
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- DEN
- difficulty:
- 1.61
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 11
Closing line (Nov 1): Broncos by 1.5 · a toss-up, Chiefs 50%, Broncos 50%.
What others said about the same people
- Pete PriscoScore Predictions · Denver BroncosHit · 98Prisco gives score predictions for every Week 9 NFL game, picking the Bengals to rout the Falcons in Madrid, the Cowboys to rebound at Indianapolis, and the Jaguars to win in Baltimore without Lamar Jackson.
- Zack KelbermanGame Outcome Picks · Denver BroncosHit · 100Kelberman predicts the Broncos will comfortably beat the Panthers in Week 9, with Denver's offensive line handling Carolina's weak pass rush.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Denver BroncosHit · 100Rogers picked straight-up winners in every Week 9 game, agreeing with Simms on all of them, and gave a 24-20 Bills score over the Vikings on Monday night.
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Denver BroncosHit · 98Simms gave a predicted final score for every Week 9 game, picking the Bengals, Chiefs, Broncos, Lions, Giants, Rams, Cowboys, Saints, 49ers, Patriots, Seahawks, Texans, Bears and Bills, and also said he wouldn't be shocked to see Jacksonville reach the AFC Championship Game.
- Matt HarmonGame Outcome Picks · Denver BroncosHit · 100Harmon picked the Packers, Bears, Bills, 49ers and Broncos in Week 9, predicted Justin Jefferson would top 100 receiving yards with two touchdowns against Buffalo, and said Minnesota would lose and then trade for Jonathan Taylor.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Denver BroncosHit · 100Tice picked the Patriots to beat the Packers and also took the Bears, Bills, 49ers and Broncos in their Week 9 matchups.
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The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
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- Jeremy BrenerGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback.
- Albert BreerGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup.
- Tyler SullivanGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Sullivan picks the Seahawks to win in Week 9.
- Dave RichardGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Richard picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.
- John PluymGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Pluym picks the Seahawks over the Cardinals.