Jared Dubin#60 of 87 NFL pundits · Oct 15, 2026

Dubin picked Seattle, Jacksonville, Chicago, Baltimore, Philadelphia, Green Bay and San Francisco with final scores in Week 6, and expected Denver to be without Patrick Surtain II.

Published in writing · CBS SportsRead the original

3 of 7calls landed3 hits · 1 close call · 3 misses · 1 waiting

57.8Average accuracyout of 100, across 7 calls

63.8A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

7Games calledeveryone’s picks below

#60Jared Dubin’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jared Dubin said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

If he does, I think the Ravens win this game by a lot.

Jared Dubin, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was published: CBS Sports
The piece: NFL Week 6 picks: Our experts face off on Seahawks at Broncos, Ravens at Browns and more
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidOct 15
PlayedOct 15–19
GradedOct 16–20

1San Francisco 49ers 27 — Commanders 16“Prediction: 49ers 27, Commanders 16”
2Green Bay Packers 33 — Cowboys 28“Prediction: Packers 33, Cowboys 28”
3Jacksonville Jaguars 24 — Texans 20“Prediction: Jaguars 24, Texans 20”
4Baltimore Ravens 31 — Browns 14“Prediction: Ravens 31, Browns 14”
5Philadelphia Eagles 20 — Panthers 17“Prediction: Eagles 20, Panthers 17”
6Chicago Bears 23 — Falcons 17“Prediction: Bears 23, Falcons 17”
7Seattle Seahawks 24 — Broncos 16“Prediction: Seahawks 24, Broncos 16”
8Availability Calls“Denver is also still banged up defensively and likely won't have Patrick Surtain II here (Thursday night vs. Seattle)”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
San Francisco 49ers 27 — Commanders 16¹	Score Predictions	49ers 23–17	88.1	86.23	+3.21
Green Bay Packers 33 — Cowboys 28²	Score Predictions	Packers 23–13	88.1	76.55	+19.85
Jacksonville Jaguars 24 — Texans 20³	Score Predictions	Texans 34–31	47.62	42.86	+8.19
Baltimore Ravens 31 — Browns 14⁴	Score Predictions	Browns 13–10	16.67	92.86	−131.05
Philadelphia Eagles 20 — Panthers 17⁵	Score Predictions	Panthers 25–14	30.95	23.81	+12.29
Chicago Bears 23 — Falcons 17⁶	Score Predictions	Bears 31–23	95.24	30.95	+110.57
Seattle Seahawks 24 — Broncos 16⁷	Score Predictions	Broncos 17–14	38.1	93.6	−95.47
“Denver is also still banged up defensively and likely won't…”⁸	Availability Calls	—	—	—	—
8 calls · 3 hits · 1 close call · 3 misses · 1 waiting			57.8	63.8

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

8 checkable claims — 7 score predictions and 1 availability call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

7 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 57.8 out of 100, against 63.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Score Predictions San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers 27 — Commanders 16
What happened49ers 23–17called 49ers by 11 · won by 6
88.1Hit · naive 86.23
88.1this call86.23a naive guess1.87better than naive1.72difficulty+3.21skill
Closing line (Oct 19): 49ers by 7.5, total 51.5 · this 27–16 calls a bigger 49ers win (by 11) and fewer points (43).
How this was scored
score:
17-23
skill:
3.21
they picked:
SF
season:
2026
accuracy:
88.1
baseline:
86.23
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
6
weeks left when called:
13
naive home margin:
0.22
predicted margin:
11
Think this is wrong?
2Score Predictions Green Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers 33 — Cowboys 28
What happenedPackers 23–13called Packers by 5 · won by 10
88.1Hit · naive 76.55
88.1this call76.55a naive guess11.55better than naive1.72difficulty+19.85skill
Closing line (Oct 18): Cowboys by 1.5, total 53.5 · this 33–28 calls a Packers win (by 5; the line gave the Packers 49%) and more points (61).
How this was scored
score:
13-23
skill:
19.85
they picked:
GB
season:
2026
accuracy:
88.1
baseline:
76.55
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
10
weeks left when called:
13
naive home margin:
0.15
predicted margin:
5
Think this is wrong?
3Score Predictions Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars 24 — Texans 20
What happenedTexans 34–31called Jaguars by 4 · lost by 3
47.62Close · naive 42.86
47.62this call42.86a naive guess4.76better than naive1.72difficulty+8.19skill
Closing line (Oct 18): Jaguars by 2.5, total 42.5 · this 24–20 calls a bigger Jaguars win (by 4) and more points (44).
How this was scored
score:
34-31
skill:
8.19
they picked:
JAX
season:
2026
accuracy:
47.62
baseline:
42.86
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
13
naive home margin:
0
predicted margin:
4
Think this is wrong?
4Score Predictions Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens 31 — Browns 14
What happenedBrowns 13–10called Ravens by 17 · lost by 3
16.67Miss · naive 92.86
16.67this call92.86a naive guess−76.19worse than naive1.72difficulty−131.05skill
Closing line (Oct 18): Ravens by 3, total 39.5 · this 31–14 calls a bigger Ravens win (by 17) and more points (45).
How this was scored
score:
10-13
skill:
−131.05
they picked:
BAL
season:
2026
accuracy:
16.67
baseline:
92.86
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
13
naive home margin:
0
predicted margin:
17
Think this is wrong?
5Score Predictions Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles 20 — Panthers 17
What happenedPanthers 25–14called Eagles by 3 · lost by 11
30.95Miss · naive 23.81
30.95this call23.81a naive guess7.14better than naive1.72difficulty+12.29skill
Closing line (Oct 18): Panthers by 3, total 39.5 · this 20–17 calls a Eagles win (by 3; the line gave the Eagles 41%) and fewer points (37).
How this was scored
score:
25-14
skill:
12.29
they picked:
PHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
30.95
baseline:
23.81
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
11
weeks left when called:
13
naive home margin:
0
predicted margin:
3
Think this is wrong?
6Score Predictions Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears 23 — Falcons 17
What happenedBears 31–23called Bears by 6 · won by 8
95.24Hit · naive 30.95
95.24this call30.95a naive guess64.29better than naive1.72difficulty+110.57skill
Closing line (Oct 18): Bears by 1.5, total 51.5 · this 23–17 calls a bigger Bears win (by 6) and fewer points (40).
How this was scored
score:
31-23
skill:
110.57
they picked:
CHI
season:
2026
accuracy:
95.24
baseline:
30.95
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
8
weeks left when called:
13
naive home margin:
0
predicted margin:
6
Think this is wrong?
7Score Predictions Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks 24 — Broncos 16
What happenedBroncos 17–14called Seahawks by 8 · lost by 3
38.1Miss · naive 93.6
38.1this call93.6a naive guess−55.5worse than naive1.72difficulty−95.47skill
Closing line (Oct 15): Seahawks by 2.5, total 40.5 · this 24–16 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 8) and fewer points (40).
How this was scored
score:
14-17
skill:
−95.47
they picked:
SEA
season:
2026
accuracy:
38.1
baseline:
93.6
difficulty:
1.72
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
13
naive home margin:
0.31
predicted margin:
8
Think this is wrong?
8Availability Calls Pat Surtain II Denver Broncos
“Denver is also still banged up defensively and likely won't have Patrick Surtain II here (Thursday night vs. Seattle)”
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 7 settled calls, each counted once
57.8naive 63.8

The games in this take

every pundit’s pick on each

Who this take is about

Where do you stand on this one?Pick every open claim on Picks →

Others on the same people

Parker Hurley · Roster Spot Calls · Khalid Kareem · Miss 0
Hurley predicts the 49ers will release Khalil Kareem when Nate Hobbs is activated and cut Brandin Cooks when C.J. West returns, while arguing Sebastian Valdez won't be the one let go and no cornerback will be cut.
Chad Jensen · Roster Spot Calls · Jordan Turner · Miss 0
Jensen predicts Daiyan Henley's arrival will cut into Justin Strnad's snaps while Alex Singleton keeps playing virtually every down, and that Denver will return to a three-linebacker rotation after the Week 10 bye. They also expect one of Jordan Turner or Karene Reid — most likely Turner — to be waived to clear a roster spot.
John Middlekauff · Draft Bust Calls · Caleb Williams · Miss 0
Middlekauff expects either Josh Allen or Lamar Jackson to win this year's MVP, calling them the two best players in the league. They are pessimistic on the Bears, forecasting six or seven wins and saying they'd bet Caleb Williams doesn't work out as a franchise quarterback. They also see Oklahoma's John Mattier as a first-round pick who'll be in the Heisman mix.
Jeremy Brener · Depth Chart Calls · Drew Lock · Hit 100
Brener picked the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in Week 9 by a multi-score margin, giving a final score of 27-13, and expressed confidence Seattle would be fine with Drew Lock starting at quarterback.
Bill Huber · Game Outcome Picks · Green Bay Packers · Hit 100
Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite their rib injury. They also sketch the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard.
Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · Seattle Seahawks · Hit 100
Breer picks the Seahawks to beat the Cardinals in their Week 9 NFC West matchup.

More score predictions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.
Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10.
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.
John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.
Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picked the Giants to beat the Commanders at home in the Thursday night Week 10 game, 23-14, citing New York's dominant front seven containing Jayden Daniels.
Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picked seven Week 10 games with final scores, including a Commanders upset of the Giants, Lions over the Patriots in Munich, Chiefs over the Falcons, Packers edging the Vikings, 49ers over the Cowboys, Bengals over the Steelers and Ravens over the Chargers. They also suggested Joe Burrow could win MVP this season.