Around the NFLJan 3, 2025
The show's guest analyst (referred to only as "Cynthia") picked Cincinnati to win in Pittsburgh, Green Bay to beat Chicago, joined the Tampa Bay pick over New Orleans, and said they had the Texans winning.
Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original
What Around the NFL said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI think that Cincinnati wins that.
- Where it was said
- Around the NFL (podcast)
- The episode
- Week 18 Picks with Cynthia Frelund
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidJan 3, 2025
- GradedAug 17, 2026
- 1Houston Texans to beat Titans“I think I have the Texans... I have the Texans spinning. That's where we're winning.”
- 2Green Bay Packers to beat Chicago Bears“My third and final pick for the regular twenty twenty four season is the Green Bay Packers... over the Chicago Bears”
- 3Cincinnati Bengals to beat Pittsburgh“I think that Cincinnati wins that wow, and they cover the spread on that one... Now we're going Cincinnati wins by two.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Texans to beat Titans1 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 0 | +106 | |
| Green Bay Packers to beat Chicago Bears2 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cincinnati Bengals to beat Pittsburgh3 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 0 | +106 | |
| 3 calls · 2 hits · 1 miss · all settled | 66.7 | 0 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naive3 checkable claims — 3 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 3 have settled, averaging 66.7 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Game Outcome PicksHouston Texans
Houston Texans to beat Titans
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.06difficulty=+106skillClosing line (Jan 5): Titans by 2.5 · underdog pick, Texans 44%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- HOU
- score:
- 23-14
- skill:
- 106
- they picked:
- HOU
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- TEN
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 1
2Game Outcome PicksGreen Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers to beat Chicago Bears
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1.06difficulty=0skillClosing line (Jan 5): Packers by 10 · favorite pick, Packers about 3 in 4 (77%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- CHI
- score:
- 24-22
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- GB
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- GB
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 1
3Game Outcome PicksCincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Pittsburgh
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.06difficulty=+106skillClosing line (Jan 4): Bengals by 2.5 · favorite pick, Bengals 57%. Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- CIN
- score:
- 19-17
- skill:
- 106
- they picked:
- CIN
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- PIT
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 1
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 3 settled calls, each counted once
66.7naive 0
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Bobby Skinner · Trade and Signing Calls · Stefon Diggs · Miss 0
Skinner predicted Daniel Jones signs with and wins the starting job in Indianapolis, Milton Williams to New England, Lavonte David back to Tampa, Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams to the Giants, DJ Reid to Arizona, Hassan Reddick to Washington and Justin Fields staying in Pittsburgh, plus alternates they had listed.Bill Huber · Game Outcome Picks · Green Bay Packers · Hit 100
Huber argues Green Bay has no excuses left and will beat New England in Foxborough, and expects Christian Watson to play despite their rib injury. They also sketch the projected interior offensive line, with John Williams at center and Laken Tomlinson at right guard.Derek Brown · Game Outcome Picks · Green Bay Packers · Hit 100
Brown picked the Bengals to beat the Falcons in Madrid, the Packers to win outright in New England and the Bills to beat the Vikings on Monday night. They were bullish on Jonah Coleman's rest-of-season value, expected Jonathan Taylor to play for the Colts, floated a Breece Hall trade, and did not expect DJ Reed to play in Week 9.Danny Parkins · Game Outcome Picks · Green Bay Packers · Hit 100
Parkins named the seven AFC teams they believe are already set as the playoff field, expects Chicago, Buffalo and Kansas City to win this week, took Green Bay over New England and Atlanta over Cincinnati outright, and kept Bills–Bears as their Super Bowl matchup with the Giants still winning the NFC East.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Eva Geitheim · Game Outcome Picks · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Geitheim picked the Commanders, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Vikings, Jaguars, Colts, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Conor Orr · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10.Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens.Mitch Goldich · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Matt Verderame · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.