Jared Koch#1 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 20, 2026

Koch argues that with Jayden Higgins lost for the season, third-year receiver Jared Wayne's rising stock makes them likely to make the Texans' 53-man roster rather than the practice squad.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

100Hit · out of 100

3 weeks on a 53What happenedsettled

100A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge

100This callout of 100

#1Jared Koch’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Jared Koch said

Now? That opportunity to make it past the cut is better than it's ever been for Wayne

Our reading: Jared Wayne to make the roster

Where it was published: Sports Illustrated
The piece: This Dark Horse Can Make Texans' Roster After Jayden Higgins Injury
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidAug 20
GradedSep 25

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Roster Spot Calls Jared Wayne Houston Texans
Jared Wayne to make the roster
What happened3 weeks on a 53
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
club:
HOU
skill:
0
player:
Jared Wayne
season:
2026
claimed:
he makes the 53
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
3
weeks left when called:
18
first week on the53:
1
weeks on the practice squad:
0
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Who this take is about

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