Kyle Brandt#56 of 87 NFL pundits · Jan 24, 2025

Brandt predicted the Bills would beat the Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game by a score of 29-25, arguing officiating wouldn't be the story and that Buffalo is simply the better football team. They also predicted extracurricular scrapping in the NFC title game.

Said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast)Hear the original

48Close · out of 100

Score PredictionsThe callsettled

98.28A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge

47.62This callout of 100

#56Kyle Brandt’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Kyle Brandt said

Bill's twenty nine cheats twenty five referees.

Our reading: Buffalo Bills 29 — Chiefs 25

Where it was said: Move the Sticks (podcast)
The episode: GMFB Friday Hour 1: Bills/Chiefs, Bold Predictions, and Charles Davis!
The original: Hear the original
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The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

SaidJan 24, 2025
GradedAug 17, 2026

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 47.6 out of 100, against 98.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

Score Predictions Buffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills 29 — Chiefs 25
VerdictClose
47.62Close · naive 98.28
47.62this call98.28a naive guess−50.66worse than naive1difficulty−50.66skill
Closing line (Jan 26): Chiefs by 1.5, total 49.5 · this 29–25 calls a Bills win (by 4; the line gave the Bills 48%) and more points (54).
How this was scored
score:
29-32
skill:
−50.66
they picked:
BUF
season:
2024
accuracy:
47.62
baseline:
98.28
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
3
weeks left when called:
0
naive home margin:
2.28
predicted margin:
4
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