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Bill Huber· Oct 24, 2026

Huber predicts Josh Jacobs will play in Week 7 and picks the Lions to beat the Packers 31-24 in Detroit.

“I'll go Lions, 31-24.”

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

3 checkable claims — 1 availability call, 1 game outcome pick and 1 score prediction — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 3 have settled so far, averaging 95.2 out of 100, against 96 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The game in this take

3 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • Detroit Lions 31 — Green Bay Packers 24

    “I'll go Lions, 31-24.”

    Hit · 90Scored 90.48a naive guess scored 92.03-2.59 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    17-20
    skill:
    −2.59
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    90.48
    baseline:
    92.03
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    12
    naive home margin:
    −0.35
    predicted margin:
    7

    Closing line (Oct 25): Lions by 3.5, total 55.5 · this 31–24 calls a bigger Lions win (by 7) and fewer points (55).

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  • Detroit Lions to beat Green Bay Packers

    “I'm leaning toward Detroit... I'll go Lions, 31-24.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    DET
    score:
    17-20
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DET
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DET
    difficulty:
    1.67
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    12

    Closing line (Oct 25): Lions by 3.5 · favorite pick, Lions 63%.

    Think this is wrong?

  • “Josh Jacobs is going to play, I was told on Thursday. (Week 7 vs. Detroit)”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

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