Scott KennedyAug 11, 2026

Kennedy projects the Falcons' roster locks: Kyle Pitts Sr., Austin Hooper and Charlie Woerner are locks at tight end, while Drake London, Jahan Dotson, Olamide Zaccheaus and Zachariah Branch are all but locks at receiver. They suggest Cash Jones would claim a sixth receiver spot if Atlanta keeps six, and that Muse, Simon and Velling are bubble players.

Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original

7 of 7calls landed7 hits · 1 waiting

100Average accuracyout of 100, across 7 calls

85.7A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge

7 of 8Settled1 still waiting

1Waitingnot graded yet

What Scott Kennedy said

our reading, beside the words we read it from

Atlanta has three tight ends that appear to be locks to make the roster in Kyle Pitts Sr., Austin Hooper, and Charlie Woerner.

Scott Kennedy, the lead quote · each call’s own words are below

Where it was published: Sports Illustrated
The piece: Falcons Making Moves, Sign former Minnesota Vikings Tight End
The original: Read the original
Read it wrong?: Tell us and we will look

SaidAug 11
GradedSep 25

1Charlie Woerner to make the roster“Atlanta has three tight ends that appear to be locks to make the roster in Kyle Pitts Sr., Austin Hooper, and Charlie Woerner.”
2Kyle Pitts to make the roster“Atlanta has three tight ends that appear to be locks to make the roster in Kyle Pitts Sr., Austin Hooper, and Charlie Woerner.”
3Drake London to make the roster“Drake London, Jahan Dotson, Olamide Zaccheaus, and Zachariah Branch are all but locks to make the team.”
4Zachariah Branch to make the roster“Drake London, Jahan Dotson, Olamide Zaccheaus, and Zachariah Branch are all but locks to make the team.”
5Austin Hooper to make the roster“Atlanta has three tight ends that appear to be locks to make the roster in Kyle Pitts Sr., Austin Hooper, and Charlie Woerner.”
6Olamide Zaccheaus to make the roster“Drake London, Jahan Dotson, Olamide Zaccheaus, and Zachariah Branch are all but locks to make the team.”
7Jahan Dotson to make the roster“Drake London, Jahan Dotson, Olamide Zaccheaus, and Zachariah Branch are all but locks to make the team.”
8Cash Jones to make the roster“Jones looks like he could be the guy if the Falcons keep six.”

Box score

HitCloseMissWaiting

Call	Kind	What happened	Score	Naive	Skill
Charlie Woerner to make the roster¹	Roster Spot Calls	3 weeks on a 53	100	100	0
Kyle Pitts to make the roster²	Roster Spot Calls	3 weeks on a 53	100	100	0
Drake London to make the roster³	Roster Spot Calls	3 weeks on a 53	100	100	0
Zachariah Branch to make the roster⁴	Roster Spot Calls	3 weeks on a 53	100	0	+200
Austin Hooper to make the roster⁵	Roster Spot Calls	3 weeks on a 53	100	100	0
Olamide Zaccheaus to make the roster⁶	Roster Spot Calls	3 weeks on a 53	100	100	0
Jahan Dotson to make the roster⁷	Roster Spot Calls	3 weeks on a 53	100	100	0
Cash Jones to make the roster⁸	Roster Spot Calls	—	—	—	—
8 calls · 7 hits · 1 waiting			100	85.7

How each call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

8 checkable claims — 8 roster spot calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

7 of 8 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 85.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

1Roster Spot Calls Charlie Woerner Atlanta Falcons
Charlie Woerner to make the roster
What happened3 weeks on a 53
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
club:
ATL
skill:
0
player:
Charlie Woerner
season:
2026
claimed:
he makes the 53
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
3
weeks left when called:
18
first week on the53:
1
weeks on the practice squad:
0
Think this is wrong?
2Roster Spot Calls Kyle Pitts Atlanta Falcons
Kyle Pitts to make the roster
What happened3 weeks on a 53
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
club:
ATL
skill:
0
player:
Kyle Pitts
season:
2026
claimed:
he makes the 53
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
3
weeks left when called:
18
first week on the53:
1
weeks on the practice squad:
0
Think this is wrong?
3Roster Spot Calls Drake London Atlanta Falcons
Drake London to make the roster
What happened3 weeks on a 53
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
club:
ATL
skill:
0
player:
Drake London
season:
2026
claimed:
he makes the 53
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
3
weeks left when called:
18
first week on the53:
1
weeks on the practice squad:
0
Think this is wrong?
4Roster Spot Calls Zachariah Branch Atlanta Falcons
Zachariah Branch to make the roster
What happened3 weeks on a 53
100Hit · naive 0
100this call0a naive guess100better than naive2difficulty+200skill
How this was scored
club:
ATL
skill:
200
player:
Zachariah Branch
season:
2026
claimed:
he makes the 53
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
3
weeks left when called:
18
first week on the53:
1
weeks on the practice squad:
0
Think this is wrong?
5Roster Spot Calls Austin Hooper Atlanta Falcons
Austin Hooper to make the roster
What happened3 weeks on a 53
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
club:
ATL
skill:
0
player:
Austin Hooper
season:
2026
claimed:
he makes the 53
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
3
weeks left when called:
18
first week on the53:
1
weeks on the practice squad:
0
Think this is wrong?
6Roster Spot Calls Olamide Zaccheaus Atlanta Falcons
Olamide Zaccheaus to make the roster
What happened3 weeks on a 53
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
club:
ATL
skill:
0
player:
Olamide Zaccheaus
season:
2026
claimed:
he makes the 53
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
3
weeks left when called:
18
first week on the53:
1
weeks on the practice squad:
0
Think this is wrong?
7Roster Spot Calls Jahan Dotson Atlanta Falcons
Jahan Dotson to make the roster
What happened3 weeks on a 53
100Hit · naive 100
100this call100a naive guess0better than naive2difficulty0skill
How this was scored
club:
ATL
skill:
0
player:
Jahan Dotson
season:
2026
claimed:
he makes the 53
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
difficulty:
2
the naive guess:
he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
weeks in the season:
18
weeks on the53:
3
weeks left when called:
18
first week on the53:
1
weeks on the practice squad:
0
Think this is wrong?
8Roster Spot Calls Cash Jones Atlanta Falcons
Cash Jones to make the roster
VerdictWaiting
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
All
The take as a whole
the average of 7 settled calls, each counted once
100naive 85.7

Who this take is about

Where do you stand on this one?Pick every open claim on Picks →

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