Cynthia Frelund· Dec 5, 2025
Freeland picks the Chiefs to edge the Texans, the Bills to beat the Bengals at home by more than a field goal, Washington to win at Minnesota regardless of quarterback, and the Browns to beat the Titans by five or more.
“Washington wins this one.”
said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
5 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 5 have settled, averaging 40 out of 100, against 40 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
5 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksDenver BroncosDec 5, 2025
Denver Broncos to beat Raiders
“I'm I'm completely with you. (on Denver minus seven and a half)”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+128 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 24-17
- skill:
- 128
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- LV
- difficulty:
- 1.28
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 5
- Game Outcome PicksWashington CommandersDec 5, 2025
Washington Commanders to beat Minnesota
“I don't care which which Washington quarterback is playing. Washington wins this one.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-128 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- MIN
- score:
- 0-31
- skill:
- -128
- they picked:
- WAS
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- MIN
- difficulty:
- 1.28
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 5
- Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsDec 5, 2025
Buffalo Bills to beat Bengals
“I see the numbers five and a half for Buffalo at home... I think that this is where the Bills at home the might... I think the Bills need to keep it together.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 34-39
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 1.28
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 5
- Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsDec 5, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Texans
“And then also Patrick Mahomes's ability to scramble just narrowly puts them over the top... I know you're on the other side of that least in terms of wins”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- HOU
- score:
- 20-10
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 1.28
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 5
- Game Outcome PicksCleveland BrownsDec 5, 2025
Cleveland Browns to beat Titans
“My last one's gonna be the Browns... So they need to win by five points more, got it? That's what I'm taking”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- TEN
- score:
- 31-29
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- CLE
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- CLE
- difficulty:
- 1.28
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 5
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Denver BroncosHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Denver BroncosHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Jake ArthurScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 98Arthur expects a close Chiefs win on Sunday Night Football at Arrowhead, predicting a final score of 27-23 for Kansas City.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · New York GiantsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Cincinnati BengalsMiss · 0Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Las Vegas RaidersHit · 100Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksMiss · 0Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · New England PatriotsHit · 100Tice picked the Bengals over the Texans in a low-scoring game, the Jaguars at Denver, the Bears over the Vikings, the Patriots over the Steelers and the Rams to edge the Giants, and his Hail Mary was the Cowboys scoring 40 on Washington. He also floated Abdul Carter as a possible All-Pro.