Cynthia Frelund#45 of 87 NFL pundits · Dec 5, 2025
Freeland picks the Chiefs to edge the Texans, the Bills to beat the Bengals at home by more than a field goal, Washington to win at Minnesota regardless of quarterback, and the Browns to beat the Titans by five or more.
Said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast)Hear the original
What Cynthia Frelund said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromWashington wins this one.
- Where it was said
- Around the NFL (podcast)
- The episode
- Week 14 NFL Picks with Cynthia Frelund
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidDec 5, 2025
- GradedAug 5–17, 2026
- 1Denver Broncos to beat Raiders“I'm I'm completely with you. (on Denver minus seven and a half)”
- 2Washington Commanders to beat Minnesota“I don't care which which Washington quarterback is playing. Washington wins this one.”
- 3Kansas City Chiefs to beat Texans“And then also Patrick Mahomes's ability to scramble just narrowly puts them over the top... I know you're on the other side of that least in terms of wins”
- 4Cleveland Browns to beat Titans“My last one's gonna be the Browns... So they need to win by five points more, got it? That's what I'm taking”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Broncos to beat Raiders1 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 100 | 0 | +128 | |
| Washington Commanders to beat Minnesota2 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 0 | 100 | −128 | |
| Kansas City Chiefs to beat Texans3 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cleveland Browns to beat Titans4 | Game Outcome Picks | — | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 calls · 1 hit · 3 misses · all settled | 25 | 25 | ||||
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive4 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 4 have settled, averaging 25 out of 100, against 25 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Game Outcome PicksDenver Broncos
Denver Broncos to beat Raiders
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×1.28difficulty=+128skillClosing line (Dec 7): Broncos by 8.5 · favorite pick, Broncos about 4 in 5 (79%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 24-17
- skill:
- 128
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- LV
- difficulty:
- 1.28
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 5
2Game Outcome PicksWashington Commanders
Washington Commanders to beat Minnesota
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×1.28difficulty=−128skillClosing line (Dec 7): Commanders by 1.5 · a toss-up, Commanders 51%, Vikings 49%.
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- MIN
- score:
- 0-31
- skill:
- −128
- they picked:
- WAS
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- MIN
- difficulty:
- 1.28
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 5
3Game Outcome PicksKansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Texans
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1.28difficulty=0skillClosing line (Dec 7): Chiefs by 4.5 · favorite pick, Chiefs about 2 in 3 (66%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- HOU
- score:
- 20-10
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 1.28
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 5
4Game Outcome PicksCleveland Browns
Cleveland Browns to beat Titans
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 00this call−0a naive guess=0better than naive×1.28difficulty=0skillClosing line (Dec 7): Browns by 4.5 · favorite pick, Browns about 2 in 3 (64%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- TEN
- score:
- 31-29
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- CLE
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- CLE
- difficulty:
- 1.28
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 5
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 4 settled calls, each counted once
25naive 25
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role.Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots.Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10.John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Conor Orr · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Orr picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10.Albert Breer · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Breer picked all 14 Week 10 games straight up, favoring the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens.Mitch Goldich · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Goldich picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Panthers, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.Matt Verderame · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Verderame picked the Giants, Lions, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Dolphins, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Ravens in Week 10.John Pluym · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Pluym picked the Giants, Patriots, Chiefs, Texans, Packers, Jaguars, Colts, Saints, Bills, Seahawks, Rams, 49ers, Bengals and Chargers in Week 10.