John ShipleyAug 11, 2026
Shipley projects second-year cornerback Jabbar Muhammad to make the Jaguars' 53-man roster and describes them as the team's clear No. 5 cornerback, a role that would earn them a game-day jersey. They also identify Patrick Mekari, Walker Little and Ezra Cleveland as projected Week 1 offensive line starters.
Published in writing · Sports IllustratedRead the original
What John Shipley said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromMuhammad has been the clear No. 5 cornerback for the Jaguars during camp, which would earn him an active game day jersey during the regular-season.
- Where it was published
- Sports Illustrated
- The piece
- Good and Not So Good From Day 10 of Jaguars Training Camp: Injuries Keep Stacking
- The original
- Read the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidAug 11
- PlayedSep 13
- GradedSep 17–Oct 4
- 1Jabbar Muhammad to make the roster“It has been awhile since we had a 53-man roster projection without Jabbar Muhammad on it.”
- 2Patrick Mekari to be 1st on the depth chart“The Jaguars had multiple projected Week 1 starters (Patrick Mekari, Walker Little, Ezra Cleveland) miss practice”
- 3Ezra Cleveland to be 1st on the depth chart“The Jaguars had multiple projected Week 1 starters (Patrick Mekari, Walker Little, Ezra Cleveland) miss practice”
- 4Jabbar Muhammad to be 5th on the depth chart“Muhammad has been the clear No. 5 cornerback for the Jaguars during camp, which would earn him an active game day jersey during the regular-season.”
- 5Walker Little to be 1st on the depth chart“The Jaguars had multiple projected Week 1 starters (Patrick Mekari, Walker Little, Ezra Cleveland) miss practice”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabbar Muhammad to make the roster1 | Roster Spot Calls | 1 week on a 53 | 100 | 0 | +200 | |
| Patrick Mekari to be 1st on the depth chart2 | Depth Chart Calls | — | 0 | 100 | −200 | |
| Ezra Cleveland to be 1st on the depth chart3 | Depth Chart Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Jabbar Muhammad to be 5th on the depth chart4 | Depth Chart Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Walker Little to be 1st on the depth chart5 | Depth Chart Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 5 calls · 1 hit · 1 miss · 3 waiting | 50 | 50 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive5 checkable claims — 4 depth chart calls and 1 roster spot call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
2 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Roster Spot CallsJabbar MuhammadJacksonville Jaguars
Jabbar Muhammad to make the roster
What happened1 week on a 53100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×2difficulty=+200skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- JAX
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Jabbar Muhammad
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he makes the 53
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he was on somebody's 53 last season, so he makes one again
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks on the53:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- first week on the53:
- 4
- weeks on the practice squad:
- 3
2Depth Chart CallsPatrick MekariJacksonville Jaguars
Patrick Mekari to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×2difficulty=−200skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- club:
- JAX
- week:
- 1
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Patrick Mekari
- season:
- 2026
- claimed:
- he starts
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- reported:
- he did not play that week
- naive slot:
- 5
- settled by:
- weekly snap counts (he took no snap in the game)
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he keeps the job he had last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
3Depth Chart CallsEzra ClevelandJacksonville Jaguars
Ezra Cleveland to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
4Depth Chart CallsJabbar MuhammadJacksonville Jaguars
Jabbar Muhammad to be 5th on the depth chart
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
5Depth Chart CallsWalker LittleJacksonville Jaguars
Walker Little to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
50naive 50
The game in this take
every pundit’s pick on eachWho this take is about
Others on the same people
AJ Hawk · Game Outcome Picks · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Hawk picked the Jaguars to beat the Ravens on the road, predicting roughly a 17-point margin.Connor "Boston Connor" Campbell · Game Outcome Picks · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Connor believed Baltimore would keep it close but still said Jacksonville wins the game outright.Nick Wright · Game Outcome Picks · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Wright expects the 49ers to release Brandon Aiyuk once they report, predicts Jacksonville blows out Baltimore on Thursday night, sees the Jaguars finishing around 13-4 or 14-3, and thinks Seattle's defense carries them past Arizona even with Drew Lock starting.Connor Rogers · Game Outcome Picks · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Rogers agreed the Bears have the NFL's best offense, picked Minnesota as the league's best total defense, and picked Jacksonville to beat Baltimore on Thursday night.Chris Simms · Score Predictions · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 83
Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore.Mark Morales-Smith · Game Outcome Picks · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Within a Week 9 fantasy sleeper column, they state that Jacksonville is almost certain to blow out Baltimore, with the Jaguars running the ball through the second half and fourth quarter.
More depth chart calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Michael Moore · Depth Chart Calls · Shedeur Sanders · Hit 100
In a Week 9 injury roundup, Moore forecast which banged-up fantasy contributors would play or sit: Deshaun Watson, Garrett Wilson, David Montgomery, Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel, TreVeyon Henderson and Terrance Ferguson are expected out, while Travis Kelce, Saquon Barkley, Michael Wilson, Christian Watson and Emeka Egbuka should play. They also expect Shedeur Sanders and Drew Lock to start at quarterback.Nic Bodiford · Depth Chart Calls · Joe Fagnano · Hit 100
Previewing Week 9 running game matchups, Bodiford expects Jacksonville to win lopsidedly over a depleted Baltimore team, with Bhayshul Tuten sitting out and Chris Rodriguez taking over as lead back, while Joe Fagnano starts at quarterback for the Ravens. They also view Broncos rookie Jonah Coleman as an RB2 going forward.